000
FZNT02 KNHC 202138
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC FRI SEP 20 2019

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC FRI SEP 20.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SAT SEP 21.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SUN SEP 22.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE JERRY NEAR 19.6N 62.0W 991 MB AT 2100 UTC SEP 20
MOVING WNW OR 295 DEG AT 16 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT
GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM NW AND SE
QUADRANTS...80 NM NE QUADRANT AND 30 NM SW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT
OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...210 NM NE
QUADRANT AND 90 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 23 FT. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 450 NM NE QUADRANT...180 NM SE QUADRANT...120 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 210 NM NW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO
12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA OVER FORECAST WATERS N OF 15N BETWEEN
42W AND 65W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM JERRY NEAR 21.8N 65.9W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 60 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...90 NM NE QUADRANT...AND 30 NM 
SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 210 NM NE QUADRANT...180 NM SE
QUADRANT...90 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 150 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS 
TO 21 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 360 NM NE QUADRANT...210 NM SE 
QUADRANT...120 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 180 NM NW QUADRANT WINDS 20 
TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 18N TO 31N 
BETWEEN 50W AND 70W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED
SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JERRY NEAR 24.5N 68.6W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 90 NM NE QUADRANT...70 NM SE QUADRANT...30 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 180 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE...90 NM SE QUADRANT...AND 60 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS 
TO 14 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM NE QUADRANT...120 NM SE 
QUADRANT...90 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 210 NM NW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO
33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 22N TO 31N 
BETWEEN 64W AND 80W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED
SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JERRY NEAR 27.0N 68.9W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JERRY NEAR 30.0N 67.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JERRY NEAR 33.5N 63.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.ATLANTIC TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 50W S OF 15N. FROM 09N TO 15N
BETWEEN 44W AND 50W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED
SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 56W S OF 16N. FROM 09N TO
14N BETWEEN 53W AND 58W SE WIND 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 12 TO 14 FT.
ELSEWHERE FROM 08N TO 18N BETWEEN 49W AND 62W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.48 HOUR TROPICAL WAVE 61W S OF 17N. FROM 11N TO 16N BETWEEN 59W
AND 62W SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 12 TO 14 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM
09N TO 19N BETWEEN 57W AND 65W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11
FT IN MIXED SWELL.

.ATLANTIC STATIONARY FRONT FROM 31N61W TO 25N70W TO 23N80W. FROM
25N TO 31N BETWEEN 69W AND 79W NE WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 12 TO 
14 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 24N TO 31N BETWEEN 68W AND 80W NE WINDS 20
TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA OVER FORECAST 
WATERS N OF 19N BETWEEN 65W AND 81W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 
TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST STATIONARY FRONT FROM 31N60W TO 25N66W TO 
22N74W. FROM 24N TO 29N BETWEEN 70W AND 80W NE WIND 20S TO 30 KT.
SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 19N TO 31N BETWEEN 70W AND 81W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.ATLANTIC OVER FORECAST WATERS N OF 26N E OF 42W. WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN NE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.GULF OF MEXICO FROM 25N TO 27N BETWEEN 82W AND 84W E WINDS 20 
TO 30 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 
.09 HOUR FORECAST FROM 23N TO 29N BETWEEN 81W AND 87W E WINDS 20
TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 23N TO 27N BETWEEN 80W AND 90W E WINDS 20
TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. 
.42 HOUR FORECAST FROM 23N TO 27N BETWEEN 84W AND 87W WINDS 20 KT
OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN E SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER KONARIK. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.