000
FZNT02 KNHC 201529
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC FRI SEP 20 2019

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC FRI SEP 20.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SAT SEP 21.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SUN SEP 22.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE JERRY NEAR 18.8N 60.3W 990 MB AT 1500 UTC SEP 20 
MOVING WNW OR 295 DEG AT 15 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT 
GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM NW AND SE 
QUADRANTS...70 NM NE QUADRANT AND 30 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT 
OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...180 NM NE 
QUADRANT AND 90 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 28 FT. ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 210 NM NE AND 120 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JERRY NEAR 20.9N 64.7W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 60 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...80 NM NE QUADRANT AND 20 NM 
SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM NE AND 90 NM SW 
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 23 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 210 NM NE AND 
120 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM JERRY NEAR 22.3N 66.6W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM JERRY NEAR 23.6N 68.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 90 NM NE QUADRANT...70 NM SE QUADRANT...30 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
120 NM NE AND 60 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 23 FT. ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 150 NM NE AND 90 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JERRY NEAR 26.5N 69.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JERRY NEAR 29.0N 67.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JERRY NEAR 33.0N 64.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.ATLC STATIONARY FRONT FROM 31N61W TO 25N70W TO 23N80W. S OF 29N 
W OF FRONT NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 10 TO 16 FT IN NE 
SWELL E OF THE BAHAMAS. ELSEWHERE W OF FRONT WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 10 TO 15 FT IN NE SWELL E OF THE BAHAMAS. REMAINDER 
OF AREA EXCEPT AS NOTED ABOVE...N OF 15N W OF 46W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN N TO NE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST STATIONARY FRONT FROM 31N58W TO 26N62W 70 
22N70W TO 21N74W. S OF 29N W OF FRONT NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN NE SWELL E OF THE BAHAMAS. ELSEWHERE W OF 
FRONT WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN NE SWELL E OF THE 
BAHAMAS. REMAINDER OF AREA EXCEPT AS NOTED ABOVE...N OF 16N W OF 
50W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT PRIMARILY IN N TO NE 
SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST STATIONARY FRONT FROM 31N50W TO 27N65W TO THEN 
FRONT TROUGH TO 25N80W. N OF FRONT/TROUGH TO 30N AND W OF 60W NE 
TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT E OF THE BAHAMAS. 
ELSEWHERE W OF FRONT WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN NE 
SWELL E OF THE BAHAMAS. REMAINDER OF AREA EXCEPT AS NOTED 
ABOVE...N OF 22N W OF 60W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT 
IN MIXED NE AND SE SWELL.

.ATLC TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 47W S OF 15N. FROM 10N TO 15N BETWEEN 
44W AND 50W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.  
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 54W S OF 16N. FROM 10N TO 
16N BETWEEN 48W AND 57W E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 
FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 10N TO 22N BETWEEN 40W AND 50W...AND N OF 24N 
E OF 45W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED NW AND NE 
SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 60W S OF 16N. FROM 08N TO 
16N E OF WAVE AXIS TO 56W E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 
12 FT. FROM 11N TO 16N W OF WAVE AXIS TO 62W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 
25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT BETWEEN 60W AND 61W.

.GULF OF MEXICO FROM 23N TO 26N E OF 83W...AND N OF 26N E OF 87W 
NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT...EXCEPT TO 9 FT IN 
STRAITS OF FLORIDA WITH NORTHERLY SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 23N TO 25N E OF 83W...AND N OF 25N E OF 
88W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT...EXCEPT TO 9 FT 
IN STRAITS OF FLORIDA WITH NORTHERLY SWELL.
.36 HOUR FORECAST FROM 23N TO 27N E OF 87W...INCLUDING THE 
STRAITS OF FLORIDA...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. 
FROM 24N TO 27N BETWEEN 87W AND 90W E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 
FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 23N TO 27N E OF 87W...INCLUDING THE 
STRAITS OF FLORIDA...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 
FT...EXCEPT TO 8 FT IN THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER GR. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.