000
FZNT02 KNHC 192105
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC THU SEP 19 2019

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC THU SEP 19.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC FRI SEP 20.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SAT SEP 21.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE JERRY NEAR 17.5N 55.8W 982 MB AT 2100 UTC SEP 19
MOVING WNW OR 295 DEG AT 15 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT
GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM NW AND SE
QUADRANTS...70 NM NE QUADRANT AND 30 NM SW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT
OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...120 NM NE QUADRANT
AND 60 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 25 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM
E SEMICIRCLE...90 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT WINDS
20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 390 NM NE
QUADRANT...240 NM SE QUADRANT...150 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 210 NM
NW QUADRANT WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JERRY NEAR 19.5N 60.8W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 70 NM NE QUADRANT...50 NM SE QUADRANT...30 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
360 NM NE QUADRANT...180 NM SE QUADRANT...150 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 210 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 26 FT. ELSEWHERE 
FROM 18N TO 22N BETWEEN 58W AND 63W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO
12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA OVER FORECAST WATERS N OF 07N BETWEEN 
40W AND 65W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JERRY NEAR 21.9N 65.8W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 80 NM NE QUADRANT...70 NM SE QUADRANT...30 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
180 NM NE QUADRANT...150 NM SE QUADRANT...90 NM SW QUADRANT...AND
150 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 20 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 20N TO 25N
BETWEEN 64W AND 68W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. 
REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 07N TO 31N BETWEEN 44W AND 69W WINDS 20 TO
25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JERRY NEAR 24.9N 68.7W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JERRY NEAR 28.0N 68.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JERRY NEAR 33.0N 65.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.ATLC OVER FORECAST WATERS N OF 26N BETWEEN 54W AND 79W. WINDS 20
TO 25 KT. SEAS 12 TO 16 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS N 0F
19N BETWEEN 53W AND 80W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
REMAINDER OF AREA OVER FORECAST WATERS N OF 18N BETWEEN 52W AND
81W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST OVER FORECAST WATERS N OF 25N BETWEEN 69W AND
79W NE WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 12 TO 14 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER 
FORECAST WATERS N OF 25N BETWEEN 68W AND 81W NE WIND 20 TO 30 KT.
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA OVER FORECAST WATERS N OF 19N
BETWEEN 65W AND 82W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED
SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 23N TO 29N BETWEEN 70W AND 80W NE WIND 20
TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS N OF
19N BETWEEN 69W AND 81W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN
MIXED SWELL.

.ATLC 36 HOUR FORECAST OVER FORECAST WATERS N OF 26N BETWEEN 36W
AND 40W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST OVER FORECAST WATERS N OF 26N E OF 44W WINDS 20
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN N SWELL.

.GULF OF MEXICO 06 HOUR FORECAST FROM 24N TO 30N BETWEEN 81W AND
85W E WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 24N TO 27W BETWEEN 80W AND 84W E WINDS 20
TO 30 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST FROM 24N TO 28N BETWEEN 83W AND 87W E WIND 20
TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 22N TO 30N BETWEEN 80W
AND 88W E WIND 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 24N TO 28N BETWEEN 85W AND 89W E WIND 20
TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER KONARIK. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.