000
FZNT02 KNHC 191000
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC THU SEP 19 2019

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC THU SEP 19.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC FRI SEP 20.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SAT SEP 21.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM JERRY NEAR 16.0N 53.2W 995 MB AT 0900 UTC SEP 19
MOVING WNW OR 290 DEG AT 14 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT
GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM OF CENTER.
SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SE
QUADRANT AND 30 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 21 FT. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 13N51W TO 16N54W TO 19N54W TO 20N51W TO 20N46W TO 13N51W
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JERRY NEAR 16.8N 55.2W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 50 NM OF CENTER. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM NE
AND 30 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 23 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN
13N52W TO 14N55W TO 20N56W TO 21N53W TO 20N48W TO 13N52W WINDS 20
TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JERRY NEAR 17.8N 57.9W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 50 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...60 NM NE QUADRANT AND 30 NM SW
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM NE AND 90 NM SW
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 24 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 17N55W TO 15N57W
TO 18N61W TO 22N60W TO 22N54W TO 17N55W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS
10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 14N57W TO 18N61W TO 20N69W
TO 22N73W TO 22N46W TO 14N57W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10
FT PRIMARILY IN N SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JERRY NEAR 20.1N 63.7W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 90 NM NE QUADRANT...80 NM SE QUADRANT...40 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 70 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
WITHIN 240 NM NE AND 120 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 25 FT.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 18N61W TO 18N66W TO 23N66W TO 23N61W TO
18N61W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 18N61W TO
19N64W TO 18N67W TO 23N75W TO 23N60W TO 18N61W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT PRIMARILY IN N SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM JERRY NEAR 22.9N 68.2W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JERRY NEAR 26.0N 70.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JERRY NEAR 29.5N 68.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.ATLC WITHIN 30N59W TO 28N61W TO 31N65W TO 31N58W TO 30N59W SW
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 17 TO 23 FT IN SW TO W SWELL. ELSEWHERE WITHIN
25N61W TO 23N74W TO 27N80W TO 31N81W TO 31N55W TO 25N61W WINDS 
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 12 TO 14 FT IN NW TO N SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 26N75W TO 26N80W TO 29N81W TO 29N74W TO
26N75W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 11 FT IN NE TO E 
SWELL. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 20N47W TO 22N73W TO 31N81W TO 31N47W TO 
20N47W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT IN NW TO N SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 26N73W TO 26N80W TO 29N81W TO 29N73W TO
26N73W E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 17N38W
TO 10N48W TO 21N61W TO 31N81W TO 31N35W TO 17N38W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS 9 TO 11 FT IN NW SWELL. 

.ATLC WITHIN 13N35W TO 13N38W TO 19N40W TO 20N39W TO 21N35W TO
13N35W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN NW TO N SWELL.
.18 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.GULF OF MEXICO 24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 25N82W TO 24N84W TO
27N86W TO 30N86W TO 29N83W TO 25N82W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.
SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 24N82W TO 23N86W TO 29N87W TO 28N83W TO
27N82W TO 24N82W E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER CHRISTENSEN. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.