000
FZNT02 KNHC 181024
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC WED SEP 18 2019

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC WED SEP 18.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC THU SEP 19.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC FRI SEP 20.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE HUMBERTO NEAR 31.7N 69.6W 951 MB AT 0900 UTC SEP 18
MOVING ENE OR 065 DEG AT 14 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT
GUSTS 120 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 120 NM W
SEMICIRCLE...130 NM NE QUADRANT AND 150 NM SE QUADRANT.  SEAS 12
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM NE QUADRANT...240 NM SE
QUADRANT...330 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 300 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS
TO 36 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 26N65W TO 25N68W TO 26N78W TO 30N81W 
TO 31N63W TO 26N65W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE HUMBERTO NEAR 34.8N 63.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT GUSTS 120 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 140 NM W SEMICIRCLE...150 NM NE QUADRANT AND 180 NM SE 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 360 NM W SEMICIRCLE...210 
NM NE QUADRANT...AND 330 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 38 FT.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 30N60W TO 29N62W TO 29N64W TO 31N66W TO
31N58W TO 30N60W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER
OF AREA OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 26N60W TO 23N69W TO 27N80W TO
31N81W TO 31N56W TO 26N60W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT
IN N SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE HUMBERTO NEAR 40.0N 59.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 200 NM NE QUADRANT...180 NM SE QUADRANT...150 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 140 NM NW QUADRANT. OVER FORECAST WATERS SEAS 12 
FT OR HIGHER N OF 27N BETWEEN 53W AND 80W WITH SEAS TO 19 FT.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 21N50W TO 20N70W TO 31N81W TO 31N51W TO
21N50W E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN NW TO N 
SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL HUMBERTO NEAR 
43.0N 53.9W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. EXTENDED 
OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. .96 HOUR 
FORECAST POST- TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL HUMBERTO NEAR 45.5N 38.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. .120 HOUR FORECAST 
POST- TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL HUMBERTO NEAR 52.1N 23.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM JERRY NEAR 14.1N 47.7W 1004 MB AT 0900 UTC SEP
18 MOVING WNW OR 290 DEG AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT
GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM N
SEMICIRCLE AND 30 NM S SEMICIRCLE. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 13N45W TO 
13N48W TO 15N48W TO 16N45W TO 13N45W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO
11 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 17N35W TO 12N42W TO 13N60W TO 
19N63W TO 22N35W TO 17N35W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT
IN N SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM JERRY NEAR 15.7N 52.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 50 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 30 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 90 NM N AND 30 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 15 
FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 17N47W TO 14N51W TO 18N54W TO 20N50W TO
20N48W TO 17N47W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JERRY NEAR 17.9N 57.9W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 60 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...70 NM NE QUADRANT AND 40 NM SW
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM N AND 60 NM S
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 16N57W TO 19N60W TO
21N61W TO 21N48W TO 20N49W TO 16N57W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO
12 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JERRY NEAR 20.2N 64.2W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JERRY NEAR 22.8N 68.6W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JERRY NEAR 25.6N 70.2W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.GULF OF MEXICO 48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN N OF 28N W OF 85W NE TO E
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER CHRISTENSEN. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.