000
FZNT02 KNHC 030258
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC TUE SEP 03 2019

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC TUE SEP 03.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC WED SEP 04.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC THU SEP 05.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE DORIAN NEAR 26.9N 78.5W 946 MB AT 0300 UTC SEP 03 
MOVING N OR 360 DEG AT 0 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT 
GUSTS 140 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 130 NM E 
SEMICIRCLE...90 NM SW QUADRANT AND 100 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM NE QUADRANT...90 NM SE 
QUADRANT...120 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 180 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS 
TO 32 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 210 NM N AND 150 NM S SEMICIRCLES 20 
TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 16 FT OPEN WATERS. REMAINDER OF AREA N OF 
27N W OF 75W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT IN SE TO S 
SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DORIAN NEAR 27.9N 79.1W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT GUSTS 135 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER. SEAS 12 FT 
OR GREATER OPEN WATERS WITHIN 240 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 180 NM S 
SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 48 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 210 NM OF CENTER 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 17 FT OPEN WATERS.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DORIAN NEAR 30.6N 79.7W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT GUSTS 130 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 150 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 100 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT 
OR GREATER OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 210 NM SE SEMICIRCLE WITH 
SEAS TO 52 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 240 NM OF 
CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 17 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA 
OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 360 NM E SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN SW TO W SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DORIAN NEAR 33.7N 77.3W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DORIAN NEAR 38.0N 71.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL DORIAN NEAR 45.4N 
61.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

...GALE WARNING...
.ATLC 12 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...E 
OF AREA NEAR 18N31.5W 1006 MB. FROM 17N TO 21N E OF 36W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN NE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...E OF 
AREA NEAR 18.5N33W 1005 MB. OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 240 NM 
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.36 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...E OF 
AREA NEAR 19N34.5W 1004 MB. OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 180 NM N 
QUADRANT WINDS 30 TO 35 KT. SEAS 13 TO 17 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 
270 NM N AND 210 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 
13 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 15N TO 25N E OF 40W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 
19.5N35.5W 1003 MB. WITHIN 180 NM NW AND 120 NM SE SEMICIRCLES 
OF CENTER WINDS 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 14 TO 20 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 
270 NM NW AND 180 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 
10 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 15N TO 25N E OF 43W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.ATLC TROUGH FROM 30N63W TO 26N68W. N OF LINE FROM 27N61W TO 
30N66W E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. 
.18 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH N OF AREA. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.GULF OF MEXICO LOW PRES NEAR 25N93W 1008 MB. WITHIN 360 NM NW 
QUADRANT NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 
21N94W 1007 MB. WITHIN 330 NM N QUADRANT NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 
KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. WITHIN 180 NM SW SEMICIRCLE NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 
25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 
22N96W 1008 MB. WITHIN 180 NM W SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. 
SEAS TO 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER MCELROY. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.