000
FZNT02 KNHC 261004
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC MON AUG 26 2019

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC MON AUG 26.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC TUE AUG 27.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC WED AUG 28.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM DORIAN NEAR 11.9N 56.4W 1002 MB AT 0900 UTC AUG 
26 MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT 
GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE...30 NM SE QUADRANT AND 20 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT 
OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 30 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH 
SEAS TO 15 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 90 NM N AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLES 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM DORIAN NEAR 13.2N 60.3W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 40 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 20 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM N AND 30 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS 
TO 16 FT. ELSWHERE WITHIN 90 NM N AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 
20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 150 NM N 
AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN 
MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM DORIAN NEAR 15.5N 64.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 50 NM N SEMICIRCLE...40 NM SE QUADRANT AND 30 NM SW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS 
TO 21 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 90 NM N AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 
20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DORIAN NEAR 18.0N 68.4W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION DORIAN NEAR 20.8N 71.6W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION DORIAN NEAR 23.0N 75.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.ATLC LOW PRES...POSSIBLE DEVELOPING TROPICAL CYCLONE...N OF 
AREA NEAR 32.5N73.5W 1010 MB WITH TROUGH TO 26N79W. WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND SCATTERED 
THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 60 NM OF 28.5N73.5W.
.18 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...N OF 
AREA NEAR 32N72.5W 1010 MB WITH TROUGH TO 27N80W. N OF 30N 
BETWEEN 70W AND 73W SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...N OF 
AREA NEAR 32.5N72.5W WITH TROUGH TO 27N80W. OVER FORECAST WATERS 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.CARIBBEAN FROM 11N TO 16N BETWEEN 69W AND 76W...INCLUDING 
GULF OF VENEZUELA...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. 
FROM 12N TO 16N BETWEEN 76W AND 79W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 
TO 9 FT IN E SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 11N TO 17N BETWEEN 71W AND 78W NE TO E 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. FROM 12N TO 17N BETWEEN 78W 
AND 80W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN E TO SE SWELL.
.36 HOUR FORECAST FROM 13N TO 15N BETWEEN 76W AND 78W E WINDS 20 
TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 11N TO 16.5N BETWEEN 
73W AND 82W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN E TO SE 
SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 10.5N TO 15N BETWEEN 73W AND 78W NE TO E 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. FROM 11N TO 16N BETWEEN 78W 
AND 82W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN E TO SE SWELL.

.CARIBBEAN 18 HOUR FORECAST S OF 17N W OF 85W...INCLUDING GULF 
OF HONDURAS...E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.36 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.42 HOUR FORECAST S OF 17N W OF 85W...INCLUDING GULF OF 
HONDURAS...E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER MCELROY. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.