000
FZNT02 KNHC 052053
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC THU OCT 05 2017

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC THU OCT 05.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC FRI OCT 06.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SAT OCT 07.

.WARNINGS.

...CARIBBEAN AND GULF OF MEXICO HURRICANE WARNING...

.TROPICAL STORM NATE NEAR 14.9N 84.3W 1000 MB AT 2100 UTC OCT 05 
MOVING NNW OR 330 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT 
GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 45 NM NE 
QUADRANT.  OVER FORECAST CARIBBEAN WATERS FROM 14N TO 16N W OF 
82W SE TO S  WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.  
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NATE NEAR 19.2N 86.1W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 60 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 30 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 75 NM E AND 60 NM W SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 17 
FT. ELSEWHERE OVER CARIBBEAN FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 150 NM SE 
AND 90 NM NW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE NATE NEAR 25.6N 89.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 90 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 120 NM SE AND 75 NM NW SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 
24 FT.  ELSEWHERE OVER GULF OF MEXICO FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 210 
NM SE QUADRANT AND 120 NM ELSEWHERE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 
11 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NATE INLAND NEAR 31.5N 89.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION NATE INLAND NEAR 38.0N 
81.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL NATE NEAR 41.5N 72.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.ATLC WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 31N82W TO 31N67W TO 26N67W TO 
28N80W TO 31N82W E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN 
NE SWELL. ELSEWHERE FROM 31N82W TO 31N35W TO 22N62W TO 
27N80W TO 31N82W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN E SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 31N55W TO 31N40W TO 
18N50W TO 23N65W TO 31N55W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT 
IN NE TO NE SWELL.
.42 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.GULF OF MEXICO TROUGH FROM 26N82W TO LOW PRES NEAR 24N83W 1006 
MB. N OF 24N E OF 88W NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. N 
OF 24N BETWEEN 83W AND 89W NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT 
IN NE TO E SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH FROM 29N88W TO LOW PRES NEAR 24N90W 
1006 MB. N OF 27N BETWEEN 88W AND 93W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 8 TO 9 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 28N94W 1007 MB. WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER COBB. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.