000
FZNT02 KNHC 050248
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC THU OCT 05 2017

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC THU OCT 05.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC FRI OCT 06.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SAT OCT 07.

.WARNINGS.

...CARIBBEAN AND GULF OF MEXICO TROPICAL STORM WARNING...

.TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN NEAR 12.8N 82.7W 1004 MB AT 0300 
UTC OCT 05 MOVING NW OR 310 DEG AT 5 KT. WITHIN 60 MM OF CENTER 
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. SCATTERED
STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM NE AND 150 NM SW SEMICIRCLES OF
CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ELSEWHERE
CARIBBEAN BETWEEN 77W AND 85W. 
.12 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM SIXTEEN NEAR 13.5N 83.2W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS TO 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM 
FORCE WINDS WITHIN 30 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 0 NM SW QUADRANT.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS TO 11 
FT. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 150 NM 
OF CENTER.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM SIXTEEN INLAND NEAR 15.1N 
83.7W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM 
FORCE WINDS WITHIN 30 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 0 NM SW QUADRANT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT.
SEAS TO 11 FT. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION 
WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER.
.36 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM SIXTEEN INLAND NEAR 17.6N 84.7W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 70 NM NE...60 NM SE...30 NM SW AND 50 NM NW 
QUADRANTS.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 75 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 
22 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM E AND 90 NM W SEMICIRCLES OF 
CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT. SCATTERED MODERATE 
ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM SIXTEEN NEAR 20.2N 86.3W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 90 NM NE...70 NM SE...30 NM SW...AND 50 NM NW 
QUADRANTS.
SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM E AND 120 NM W SEMICIRCLES 
WITH SEAS TO 28 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM E AND 150 NM W 
SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. SCATTERED STRONG 
CONVECTION WITHIN 210 NM OF CENTER. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE SIXTEEN NEAR 25.5N 88.6W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE SIXTEEN INLAND NEAR 30.5N 87.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL SIXTEEN NEAR 36.5N 82.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
 
FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

...GALE WARNING...

.ATLC COLD FRONT FROM 31N41W TO 27N50W THEN STATIONARY TO 26N63W 
AND TROUGH FROM 27N79W TO 21N81W. FROM 23N TO 27N W OF 78W NE TO 
E WINDS 20 TO 30 KT WITH FREQUENT GUSTS TO GALE FORCE. SEAS TO 
11 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 31N81W TO 31N57W TO 
24N81W TO 31N81W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 14 FT IN 
OPEN WATERS. REMAINDER ATLC N OF LINE FROM 31N44W TO 22N70W TO 
24N80W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 11 FT PRIMARILY IN N TO NE 
SWELL. SCATTERED TSTMS WITHIN 120 NM OF LINES FROM 21N76W TO 
25N77W AND FROM 07N35W TO 20N59W TO 26N59W.
.18 HOUR FORECAST STATIONARY FRONT FROM 31N39W TO 24N47W. WITHIN 
AREA BOUNDED BY 31N81W TO 31N71W TO 24N80W TO 31N81W E WINDS 20 
TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. WITHIN 120 NM OF LINE FROM 31N43W TO 
28N61W TO 29N66W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. 
ELSEWHERE N OF LINE FROM 29N34W TO 22N60W TO 25N80W WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT PRIMARILY IN N TO NE SWELL. SCATTERED 
TSTMS N OF 22N W OF 79W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST STATIONARY FRONT FROM 31N38W TO 24N47W. N OF 
27N W OF 79W E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 11 FT. 
ELSEWHERE N OF LINE FROM 29N34W TO 22N60W TO 26N80W WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT PRIMARILY IN N TO NE SWELL. SCATTERED 
TSTMS N OF 22N W OF 79W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH FROM 31N37W TO 27N39W TO 24N48W. WITHIN 
240 NM OF LINE FROM 30N47W TO 16N54W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
TO 8 FT IN N SWELL.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.GULF OF MEXICO N OF 22N E OF 93W NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 
11 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 20N E OF WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT 
IN NE SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH FROM 26N82W TO 22N85W. N OF 24N E OF 
91W NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH FROM 29N85W TO 23N86W. WITHIN 180 NM
OF 25N91W NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER NELSON. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.