000
FZNT02 KNHC 042055
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC WED OCT 04 2017

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC WED OCT 04.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC THU OCT 05.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC FRI OCT 06.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN NEAR 12.5N 82.5W 1005 MB AT 2100 
UTC OCT 04 MOVING NW OR 315 DEG AT 6 KT. WITHIN 90 NM NE 
QUADRANT E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. SEAS TO 
8 FT. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 150 
NM OF LINE FROM 10N80W TO 15N84W. 
.12 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM SIXTEEN NEAR 13.2N 83.1W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS TO 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM 
FORCE WINDS WITHIN 30 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 20 NM NW QUADRANT.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS TO 11 
FT. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 150 NM 
OF CENTER.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM SIXTEEN INLAND NEAR 14.6N 
83.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT NEAR CENTER. 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 30 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 20 NM 
NW QUADRANT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT.
SEAS TO 9 FT. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION 
WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM SIXTEEN NEAR 19.5N 85.8W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 100 NM NE...70 NM SE...30 NM SW AND 50 NM NW 
QUADRANTS.
SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM E AND 90 NM W SEMICIRCLES 
WITH SEAS TO 17 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM E AND 120 NM W 
SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. SCATTERED STRONG 
WITHIN 210 NM OF CENTER. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE SIXTEEN NEAR 25.0N 88.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE SIXTEEN INLAND NEAR 30.5N 86.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL SIXTEEN NEAR 35.5N 82.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

...GALE WARNING...

.ATLC COLD FRONT FROM 31N42W TO 27N51W THEN STATIONARY TO 25N63W 
AND TROUGH FROM 27N73W TO 23N80W. FROM 23N TO 27N W OF 78W E 
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT WITH FREQUENT GUSTS TO GALE FORCE. SEAS TO 11 
FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 31N81W TO 31N55W TO 25N80W 
TO 31N81W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT IN OPEN 
WATERS. REMAINDER ATLC N OF LINE FROM 31N45W TO 19N58W TO 24N80W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT PRIMARILY IN N TO NE SWELL. 
SCATTERED TSTMS WITHIN 120 NM OF LINES FROM 25N74W TO 22N78W AND 
FROM 14N36W TO 13N48W TO 23N63W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT FROM 31N38W TO 25N47W THEN 
STATIONARY TO 23N63W. WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 31N81W TO 31N72W TO 
24N80W TO 31N81W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN 
OPEN WATERS. WITHIN 120 NM OF LINE FROM 31N43W TO 28N49W TO 
29N45W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT. REMAINDER ATLC 
N OF LINE FROM 31N35W TO 22N60W TO 24N80W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS TO 10 FT PRIMARILY IN N TO NE SWELL. SCATTERED TSTMS N OF 
22N W OF 77W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST STATIONARY FRONT FROM 31N37W TO 24N48W.
N OF 30N BETWEEN 70W AND 78W AND WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 31N58W
TO 31N39W TO 26N37W TO 18N58W TO 31N58W WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 
FT IN NE TO E SWELL.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.GULF OF MEXICO NE OF LINE FROM 28N95W TO 22N87W NE TO E WINDS 
20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH FROM 26N82W TO 22N85W. N OF 24N E OF 
90W NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT. WITHIN 120 NM OF 23N94W
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN E SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH FROM 28N84W TO 21N87W. WITHIN 150 NM
OF LINE FROM 28N88W TO 23N92W NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 11 
FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER NELSON. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.