000
FZNT02 KNHC 191450
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC TUE SEP 19 2017

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC TUE SEP 19.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC WED SEP 20.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC THU SEP 21.

.WARNINGS.

.ATLC AND CARIBBEAN HURRICANE WARNING... 

.HURRICANE MARIA NEAR 16.3N 63.0W 927 MB AT 1500 UTC SEP 19 
MOVING NW OR 305 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 140 KT 
GUSTS 170 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 120 NM NE...110 
NM SE...80 NM AND 100 NM NW QUADRANTS. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
WITHIN 120 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...180 NM NE AND 90 NM SW 
QUADRANTS WITH SEAS TO 39 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 210 NM E AND 150 
NM W SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 15 FT. REMAINDER 
WATERS WITHIN 270 NM NE AND 180 NM SW SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 11 FT PRIMARILY IN MIXED SWELL. 
NUMEROUS TSTMS AND SQUALLS WITHIN 75 NM OF CENTER...SCATTERED 
TSTMS IN BANDS ELSEWHERE WITHIN 330 NM SE AND 210 NM NW 
SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MARIA NEAR 18.0N 65.7W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 135 KT GUSTS 165 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 110 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...120 NM NE AND 80 NM SW 
QUADRANTS. WINDS 20 TO 33 KT AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
180 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 39 FT. ELSEWHERE ATLC FROM 17N TO 
25N BETWEEN 61W AND 68W AND CARIBBEAN N OF 13N BETWEEN 62W AND 
72W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 11 FT PRIMARILY IN MIXED SWELL. 
NUMEROUS TSTMS AND SQUALLS WITHIN 75 NM OF CENTER...SCATTERED 
TSTMS IN BANDS ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM OF CENTER.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MARIA NEAR 19.6N 68.4W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 125 KT GUSTS 150 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 130 NM E SEMICIRCLE...100 NM SW AND 120 NM NW QUADRANTS. 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM OF 
CENTER WITH SEAS TO 45 FT. ELSEWHERE ATLC S OF 31N BETWEEN 62W 
AND 72W AND CARIBBEAN N OF 15N BETWEEN 64W AND 72W WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS. SEAS TO 11 FT PRIMARILY IN MIXED SWELL. NUMEROUS TSTMS 
AND SQUALLS WITHIN 75 NM OF CENTER...SCATTERED TSTMS IN BANDS 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 290 NM OF CENTER.  
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MARIA NEAR 21.5N 70.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT GUSTS 145 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MARIA NEAR 24.5N 72.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT GUSTS 130 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MARIA NEAR 27.5N 72.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT GUSTS 115 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.ATLC LOW PRES...REMNANT LOW OF LEE...NEAR 16N44W 1009 MB.  
WITHIN 330 NM NE SEMICIRCLE E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO
10 FT. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 150 NM OF LINE
FROM 24N42W TO 12N42W. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 17N46W 1011 MB. WITHIN 330 NM NE 
QUADRANT SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. SCATTERED MODERATE 
ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 120 NM OF LINE FROM 25N43W TO 15N45W. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 20N48W 1012 MB. WITHIN 150 NM OF 
24N43W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT.

.WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 31N79W TO 31N63W TO 28N73W TO 31N79W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT PRIMARILY IN MIXED N AND SE 
SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 30N BETWEEN 65W AND 75W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN N SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS MERGE.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER NELSON. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.