000
FZNT02 KNHC 181617
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC MON SEP 18 2017

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC MON SEP 18.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC TUE SEP 19.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC WED SEP 20.

.WARNINGS.

...ATLC AND CARIBBEAN HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE MARIA NEAR 14.7N 60.1W 965 MB AT 1500 UTC SEP 18 
MOVING WNW OR 285 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT 
GUSTS 120 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 90 NM NW AND SE 
QUADRANTS...110 NM NE QUADRANT AND 70 NM SW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLE 
WITH SEAS TO 28 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 210 NM N AND 180 NM S 
SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 12N TO 21N BETWEEN 55W 63W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MARIA NEAR 15.9N 62.6W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 125 KT GUSTS 150 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 100 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...120 NM NE QUADRANT AND 90 NM 
SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM NE AND 75 NM SW 
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 28 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 210 NM NW AND 
240 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN 
MIXED SWELL. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 13N TO 23.5N BETWEEN 57W AND 
66W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MARIA NEAR 17.6N 65.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 130 KT GUSTS 160 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 130 NM E SEMICIRCLE...100 NM SW QUADRANT AND 120 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM N AND 120 NM S 
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 38 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 270 NM NE AND 
180 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN 
MIXED SWELL. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 14N TO 25N BETWEEN 60W AND 
71W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MARIA NEAR 19.5N 68.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 125 KT GUSTS 150 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MARIA NEAR 21.5N 71.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT GUSTS 145 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MARIA NEAR 24.0N 72.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT GUSTS 135 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.TROPICAL DEPRESSION LEE NEAR 14.1N 40.6W 1007 MB AT 1500 UTC 
SEP 18 MOVING WNW OR 285 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 
30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.  WITHIN 180 NM NE SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 30 
KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 270 NM E SEMICIRCLE WINDS 
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW LEE NEAR 16.0N 
43.2W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. WITHIN 120 NM 
NE SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW LEE NEAR 18.9N 
45.3W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT. WITHIN 360 NM 
NE SEMICIRCLE E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN E TO SE 
SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

.ATLC HURRICANE JOSE N OF AREA NEAR 33.9N 71.1W 976 MB AT 1500 
UTC SEP 18 MOVING N OR 010 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 
65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.  OVER FORECAST WATERS N OF 29.5N BETWEEN 68W 
AND 75W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 16 FT.  WITHIN 150 NM E OF 
TROUGH FROM  31N68W TO 26N74W  S WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 15 
FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 26N BETWEEN 65W AND 80W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JOSE WELL N OF AREA NEAR 36.7N 
71.3W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.  N OF 28.5N 
BETWEEN 64W AND 80W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 11 FT IN 
MAINLY NW TO N SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM JOSE WELL N OF AREA NEAR 39.4N 
70.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. N OF 30N 
BETWEEN 66W AND 73W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN NW 
SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 1430 UTC MON SEP 18...

.HURRICANE MARIA...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER. 
ELSEWHERE SCATTERED TO LOCALLY NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG 
WITHIN 270 NM NE...480 NM SE...200 NM SW AND 120 NM NW 
QUADRANTS. 

.SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG N OF 27.5N WITHIN 90 NM E OF 
TROUGH FROM 31N68W TO 26N74W. 

$$ 
.FORECASTER STRIPLING. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.