000
FZNT02 KNHC 162219
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC SAT SEP 16 2017

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC SAT SEP 16.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SUN SEP 17.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC MON SEP 18.

.WARNINGS.

...ATLC HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE JOSE NEAR 28.9N 71.9W 973 MB AT 2100 UTC SEP 16
MOVING N OR 360 DEG AT 5 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS
85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 150 NM NE QUADRANT... 
160 NM SE QUADRANT...120 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 100 NM NW QUADRANT.
SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 360 NM NE QUADRANT...180 NM SE 
QUADRANT...240 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 270 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS 
TO 29 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM NE QUADRANT...210 NM SE
QUADRANT...150 NM SW QUADRANT AND 180 NM NW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO
33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA BOUNDED BY 31N80.5W TO
31N66W TO 27N66W TO 25N70W TO 25N76W TO 27.5N80.5W TO 31N80.5W
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JOSE NEAR 30.9N 71.8W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 120 NM W SEMICIRCLE...160 NM NE QUADRANT AND 170 NM SE 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM NE QUADRANT...150
NM SE QUADRANT...120 NM SW QUADRANT AND 300 NM NW QUADRANT WITH
SEAS TO 31 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 270 NM E
SEMICIRCLE...150 NM SW QUADRANT AND 300 NM NW QUADRANT WINDS 20
TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA BOUNDED BY 31N81W TO
31N67W TO 30N67W TO 26N71W TO 28N81W TO 31N81W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JOSE NEAR 33.8N 71.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 230 NM NE QUADRANT...210 NM SE QUADRANT...150 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 160 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER N OF
AREA. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 360 NM SE QUADRANT
AND 210 NM SW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
REMAINDER OF AREA BOUNDED BY 31N80W TO 31N65W TO 27.5N74W TO
30N80W TO 31N80W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED
SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM JOSE NEAR 37.1N 70.8W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM JOSE NEAR 40.0N 68.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM JOSE NEAR 41.0N 63.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.

...ATLC HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM MARIA NEAR 12.3N 52.6W 1002 MB AT 2100 UTC SEP 
16 MOVING W OR 275 DEG AT 17 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT 
GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE...30 NM SE QUADRANT AND 0 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT 
OR GREATER WITHIN 30 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 0 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH 
SEAS TO 13 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM NE QUADRANT...90 NM SE
QUADRANT...60 NM SW QUADRANT AND 180 NM NW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO
33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA BOUNDED BY 17N50W TO
17N46W TO 10N46W TO 12N54W TO 15N54W TO 17N50W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MARIA NEAR 13.9N 56.6W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 80 NM NE QUADRANT...40 NM SE QUADRANT...30 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 70 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90
NM NE QUADRANT...60 NM SE QUADRANT AND 30 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH
SEAS TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM N SEMICIRCLE...150 NM SE 
QUADRANT AND 90 NM SW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12
FT. REMAINDER OF AREA BOUNDED BY 19N55W TO 11N53W TO 13N59W TO 
16N59W TO 19N55W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED 
SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MARIA NEAR 15.2N 59.8W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 80 NM NE QUADRANT...60 NM SE QUADRANT...40 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 70 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN
120 NM N SEMICIRCLE...90 NM SE QUADRANT AND 60 NM SW QUADRANT
WITH SEAS TO 21 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM E SEMICIRCLE...90 NM
SW QUADRANT AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO
12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA BOUNDED BY 19N62W TO 19N57W TO 12N56W TO
13N61W TO 19N62W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED 
SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MARIA NEAR 16.5N 62.7W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT GUSTS 115 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MARIA NEAR 17.9N 65.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT GUSTS 130 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MARIA NEAR 19.5N 68.6W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT GUSTS 115 KT.

...ATLC TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM LEE NEAR 12.6N 34.2W 1007 MB AT 2100 UTC SEP 16
MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS
45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 100 NM E SEMICIRCLE...0
NM SW QUADRANT AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
WITHIN 0 NM W SEMICIRCLE...90 NM NE QUADRANT AND 30 NM SE 
QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 13 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS
WITHIN 150 NM W SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM LEE NEAR 12.7N 36.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 50 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...80 NM NE QUADRANT AND 0 NM SW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM NE QUADRANT...60 NM
SE QUADRANT AND 30 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 14 FT. ELSEWHERE
OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 30 NM SW
QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA
BOUNDED BY 17N35W TO 09N35W TO 09N38W TO 14N40W TO 17N35W WINDS
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM LEE NEAR 13.9N 39.9W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 40 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...50 NM NE QUADRANT AND 0 NM SW 
QUADRANT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITH
SEAS TO 13 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM NE QUADRANT...60 NM NW AND
SE QUADRANTS AND 30 NM SW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO
12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA BOUNDED BY 17N41W TO 17N36W TO 14N36W TO
12N41W TO 17N41W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED
SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION LEE NEAR 15.9N 43.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION LEE NEAR 17.5N 47.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW LEE NEAR 18.5N 
51.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.ATLC WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 09N46W TO 09N40W TO 07N40W TO 07N46W
TO 09N46W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED NE AND SE
SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER LEWITSKY. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.