000
FZNT02 KNHC 220322
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC TUE NOV 22 2016

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC TUE NOV 22.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC WED NOV 23.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC THU NOV 24.

.WARNINGS.

...CARIBBEAN HURRICANE WARNING...

.TROPICAL STORM OTTO NEAR 10.9N 79.1W 998 MB AT 0300 UTC NOV 22
MOVING S OR 180 DEG AT 2 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS
60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 30 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT
20 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 30 NM OF CENTER
WITH SEAS TO 16 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 270 NM
NW AND 150 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
REMAINDER OF AREA S OF 15N W OF 76W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8
TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. NUMEROUS MODERATE SCATTERED STRONG
CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM E SEMICIRCLE.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM OTTO NEAR 10.9N 79.8W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 40 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 30 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR
GREATER WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 20 FT. ELSEWHERE
OVER FORECAST WATERS S OF 15N WITHIN 240 NM NW AND 150 NM SE
SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF
AREA S OF 15N W OF 76W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN
MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE OTTO NEAR 11.3N 81.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 50 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 40 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR
GREATER WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 23 FT. ELSEWHERE
OVER FORECAST WATERS S OF 15N WITHIN 240 NM NW AND 120 NM SE
SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF
AREA S OF 15N W OF 77W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN
MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE OTTO NEAR 11.3N 84.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW OTTO NEAR 11.3N
87.2W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW OTTO NEAR 10.8N
90.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.ATLC E OF A LINE FROM 31N41W TO 25N46W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25
KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 25N E OF 40W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.
SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. N OF 23N BETWEEN 40W AND 47W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN NE TO E SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 25N TO 28N E OF 37W E WINDS 20 TO 25
KT.SEAS 11 FT. ELSEWHERE E OF A LINE FROM 31N44W TO 26N44W TO
23N35W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN NE TO E SWELL.

.ATLC COLD FRONT 31N60W TO 28N64W TO 25N70W...THEN STATIONARY TO
22N78W. N OF A LINE FROM 31N61W TO 29N65W TO 31N73W WINDS 20 KT
OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT FROM 31N55W TO 28N56W...THEN
STATIONARY TO 19N68W. N OF A LINE FROM 31N53W TO 27N60W TO
31N69W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN NW SWELL. FROM 21N
TO 25N WITHIN 120 NM W OF FRONT WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT
IN N SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST STATIONARY FRONT FROM 31N51W TO 24N59W TO
19N68W. N OF A LINE FROM 26N44W TO 24N51W TO 27N61W TO 31N63W
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT PRIMARILY IN NW SWELL. S OF
25N AND W OF FRONT TO 74W NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT.

.CARIBBEAN STATIONARY FRONT FROM 18N66W TO 15N70W TO 14N77W.
OVER FORECAST WATERS N OF A LINE FROM 15N69W TO 15N82W AND E OF
A LINE FROM 15N82W TO 21N79W...INCLUDING WINDWARD PASSAGE...NE
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT. N OF 15N BETWEEN 69W AND 75W
NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST STATIONARY FRONT FROM 18N66W TO 16N74W TO
15N78W. OVER FORECAST WATERS N OF A LINE FROM 15N70W TO 15N82W
AND E OF A LINE FROM 22N80W TO 15N82W...INCLUDING WINDWARD
PASSAGE...NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST STATIONARY FRONT FROM 18N66W TO 14N74W TO
14N78W. OVER FORECAST WATERS W OF A LINE FROM 20N73W TO 15N78W
AND E OF A LINE FROM 22N80W TO 19N84W TO 15N82W...INCLUDING
WINDWARD PASSAGE...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER MCELROY. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.