000
FZNT02 KNHC 212212
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC MON NOV 21 2016

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC MON NOV 21.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC TUE NOV 22.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC WED NOV 23.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM OTTO NEAR 11.3N 79.2W 1000 MB AT 2100 UTC NOV 21
MOVING N OR 360 DEG AT 0 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS
55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 30 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT
20 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 30 NM OF CENTER
WITH SEAS TO 15 FT. OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 150 NM SE
SEMICIRCLE S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE W
OF A LINE FROM 15N77W TO 10N81W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS
8 TO 10 FT. NUMEROUS MODERATE SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN
60 NM SE SEMICIRCLE.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM OTTO NEAR 11.1N 79.8W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 40 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 30 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR
GREATER WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 17 FT. ELSEWHERE
OVER FORECAST WATERS S OF 15N WITHIN 210 NM N AND 150 NM S
SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF
AREA S OF A LINE FROM 15N76W TO 15N82W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE OTTO NEAR 11.1N 81.1W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 50 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 40 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR
GREATER WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 22 FT. ELSEWHERE
OVER FORECAST WATERS S OF 15N WITHIN 210 NM N AND 120 NM S
SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF
AREA S OF A LINE FROM 15N77W TO 15N82W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE OTTO NEAR 11.2N 83.1W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW OTTO NEAR 11.2N
86.1W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW OTTO NEAR 11.2N
89.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.ATLC E OF A LINE FROM 31N40W TO 25N47W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25
KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 23N E OF 47W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.
SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST E OF A LINE FROM 31N41W TO 25N41W TO 24N35W
E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.

.ATLC COLD FRONT 31N61W TO 23N75W...THEN STATIONARY TO 22N78W. N
OF A LINE FROM 31N63W TO 28N67W TO 31N73W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT FROM 31N55W TO 28N58W...THEN
STATIONARY TO 20N69W. N OF A LINE FROM 31N55W TO 26N62W TO
31N69W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN NW SWELL. FROM 21N
TO 24N WITHIN 90 NM W OF FRONT WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN
N SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT FROM 31N51W TO 28N55W...THEN
STATIONARY TO 20N69W. N OF A LINE FROM 25N41W TO 25N59W TO
31N68W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT PRIMARILY IN NW
SWELL. S OF 21N BETWEEN 71W AND 74W NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS
LESS THAN 8 FT. S OF 24N W OF FRONT WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8
TO 9 FT IN NE SWELL.

.CARIBBEAN AREA BOUNDED BY A LINE FROM 20N74W TO 15N77WTO 15N82W
TO 19N80W TO 20N74W...INCLUDING WINDWARD PASSAGE...NE WINDS 20
TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT. N OF 15N BETWEEN 69W AND 75W NE WINDS
20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST OVER FORECAST WATERS N OF A LINE FROM 15N70W
TO 15N81W AND E OF A LINE FROM 20N74W TO 15N81W...INCLUDING
WINDWARD PASSAGE...NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 15N BETWEEN 71W AND 80W...INCLUDING
WINDWARD PASSAGE...NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT. FROM 15N
TO 21N BETWEEN 80W AND 84W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT
IN NE TO E SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER MCELROY. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.