000
FZNT02 KNHC 121505
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC WED OCT 12 2016

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND
GULF OF MEXICO. 

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC WED OCT 12.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC THU OCT 13.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC FRI OCT 14.

.WARNINGS.

...ATLC HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE NICOLE NEAR 28.4N 66.9W 969 MB AT 1500 UTC OCT 12
MOVING N OR 350 DEG AT 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS
105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 120 NM NW AND SE
QUADRANTS...140 NM NE QUADRANT AND 90 NM SW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 450 NM NE QUADRANT...210 NM SE
QUADRANT...330 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 480 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS
TO 30 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 180 NM E
SEMICIRCLE...120 NM SW AND 480 NM NW QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 33KT.
SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA W OF LINE FROM 31N58W TO
21N65W...EXCEPT W OF BAHAMAS...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO14
FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE NICOLE NEAR 31.5N 65.4W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 150 NM E SEMICIRCLE...100 NM SW QUADRANT AND 120 NM NW
QUADRANT. OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 300 NM SE AND 210 NM SW
QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 20 FT. ELSEWHERE W OF
LINE FROM 31N55W TO 22N67W...EXCEPT W OF BAHAMAS...WINDS 20 KT
OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 15 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE NICOLE NEAR 35.8N 59.7W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 200 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 160 NM W SEMICIRCLE. OVER
FORECAST WATERS N OF 28N BETWEEN 55W AND 61W SW TO W WINDS20 TO
25 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT IN N TO NE SWELL. ELSEWHERE W OF LINE
FROM 31N53W TO 24N73W...EXCEPT W OF BAHAMAS...WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN N TO NE SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE NICOLE NEAR 39.1N 53.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL NICOLE NEAR 39.2N 50.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL NICOLE NEAR 39.2N 50.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.ATLC LOW PRES NEAR 30.5N39W 1015 MB. NE OF LINE FROM 31N42W TO
26N35W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN N SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 29.5N41.5W 1015 MB. WINDS 20 KT
OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.ATLC 18 HOUR FORECAST FROM 12N TO 14N E OF 37W E TO SE WINDS 20
TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 12N TO 16N E OF 38W E TO SE WINDS 20 TO
25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 15N TO 18N BETWEEN 38W AND 41W WINDS 20
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN MIXED N AND SE SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER AL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.