000
FZNT02 KNHC 120916
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC WED OCT 12 2016

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND
GULF OF MEXICO. 

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC WED OCT 12.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC THU OCT 13.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC FRI OCT 14.

.WARNINGS.

...ATLC HURRICANE WARNING...

.HURRICANE NICOLE NEAR 27.9N 67.0W 970 MB AT 0900 UTC OCT 12
MOVING NNW OR 340 DEG AT 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT
GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 90 NM NW AND SE
QUADRANTS...100 NM NE QUADRANT AND 70 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT
OR GREATER WITHIN 450 NM NE...210 NM SE...300 NM SW AND 480 NM
NW QUADRANTS WITH SEAS TO 28 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 210 NM OF
CENTER EXCEPT 120 NM SW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO
12 FT. N OF 27N BETWEEN 69W AND 77W NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS
11 TO 17 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA W OF LINE FROM 31N57W TO 25N58W
TO 21N71W EXCEPT W OF BAHAMAS WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 14
FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE NICOLE NEAR 30.6N 66.4W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 140 NM NE...130 NM SE...100 NM SW AND 120 NM NW
QUADRANTS. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 270 NM SE AND 480 NM SW
QUADRANTS WITH SEAS TO 35 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS
WITHIN 300 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 11 TO 12 FT.
REMAINDER OF AREA W OF LINE FROM 31N57W TO 21N70W EXCEPT W OF
BAHAMAS WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 14 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE NICOLE N OF AREA NEAR 35.0N 61.8W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 180 NM E SEMICIRCLE...130 NM SW QUADRANT AND 140 NM
NW QUADRANT. OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 420 NM SE AND 360 NM SW
QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 16 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA
W OF LINE FROM 31N54W TO 22N71W EXCEPT W OF BAHAMAS WINDS 20 KT
OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN N TO NE SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE NICOLE NEAR 39.0N 55.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL NICOLE NEAR 40.0N 51.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL NICOLE NEAR 40.0N 50.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
 
FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.ATLC LOW PRES NEAR 32N38W 1013 MB. NE OF LINE FROM 31N43W TO
27N35W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN N SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 29N41W 1015 MB. WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.ATLC 24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL WAVE S OF 15N ALONG 37W. FROM
11N TO 14N E OF WAVE E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL WAVE S OF 15N ALONG 42W. WITHIN 120
NM OF 15N38W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN MIXED N AND SE
SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER MUNDELL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.