000
FZNT02 KNHC 112043
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC TUE OCT 11 2016

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND
GULF OF MEXICO. 

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC TUE OCT 11.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC WED OCT 12.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC THU OCT 13.

.WARNINGS.

...ATLC HURRICANE WARNING...

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE NICOLE NEAR 27.4N 66.4W 980 MB AT 2100 UTC OCT 11
MOVING NW OR 320 DEG AT 4 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT
GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 90 NM NW AND SE
QUADRANTS...100 NM NE AND 70 NM SW QUADRANTS. SEAS 12 FT OR
GREATER WITHIN 390 NM NE...180 NM SE...120 NM SW AND 360 NM NW
QUADRANTS WITH SEAS TO 22 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM E AND 600
NM W SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. REMAINDER
OF FORECAST WATERS N OF LINE FROM 31N56W TO 25N57W TO 20N70W TO
26N80W TO 31N81W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 11 FT PRIMARILY
IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE NICOLE NEAR 29.1N 67.1W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 90 NM SW QUADRANT. WINDS 20 TO 33
KT AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 600
NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 33 FT. REMAINDER OF FORECAST WATERS
N OF LINE FROM 31N52W TO 19N69W TO 26N80W TO 31N81W WINDS 20 KT
OR LESS. SEAS TO 11 FT PRIMARILY IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE NICOLE NEAR 33.1N 64.9W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT GUSTS 115 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 180 NM E SEMICIRCLE...100 NM SW QUADRANT AND 130 NM NW
QUADRANT. WINDS 20 TO 33 KT AND SEAS 12 TO 20 FT WITHIN AREA
BOUNDED BY A LINE FROM 31N60W TO 28N62W TO 31N72W TO 31N60W.
REMAINDER OF FORECAST WATERS N OF LINE FROM 31N58W TO 21N71W TO
26N80W TO 31N81W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 11 FT PRIMARILY IN
MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE NICOLE NEAR 38.0N 59.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL NICOLE NEAR 41.0N
54.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL NICOLE NEAR 41.5N
53.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.ATLC LOW PRES NEAR 31N36W 1015 MB. NE OF LINE FROM 31N43W TO
28N35W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN N SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 30N40W 1015 MB. N OF 27N BETWEEN
40W AND 47W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 31N38W 1015 MB. N OF 29N BETWEEN
43W AND 47W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED SWELL.

.ATLC 36 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL WAVE S OF 15N ALONG 38W. FROM
11N TO 14N E OF WAVE E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL WAVE S OF 15N ALONG 40W. WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER NELSON. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.