000
FZNT02 KNHC 111615
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC TUE OCT 11 2016

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND
GULF OF MEXICO. 

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC TUE OCT 11.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC WED OCT 12.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC THU OCT 13.

.WARNINGS.

...ATLC HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM NICOLE NEAR 27.3N 65.9W 990 MB AT 1500 UTC OCT
11 MOVING NNW OR 335 DEG AT 4 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT
GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM W
SEMICIRCLE...90 NM NE QUADRANT AND 80 NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT
OR GREATER WITHIN 390 NM NE QUADRANT...180 NM SE QUADRANT...120
NM SW QUADRANT...AND 360 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 22 FT.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 420 NM NE QUADRANT...360 NM SE QUADRANT...240
NM SW QUADRANT AND 420 NM NW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9
TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA N OF 21N BETWEEN 59W AND 70W WINDS
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.12 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE NICOLE NEAR 27.7N 66.4W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 100 NM E AND 80 NM W SEMICIRCLES. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER
WITHIN 420 NM NE QUADRANT...210 NM SE QUADRANT...180 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 360 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 26 FT. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 450 NM NE QUADRANT...360 NM SE QUADRANT...240 NM SW
QUADRANT AND 420 NM NW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12
FT. REMAINDER OF AREA N OF 21N BETWEEN 59W AND 70W WINDS 20 KT
OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE NICOLE NEAR 28.6N 66.9W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 110 NM E SEMICIRCLE...80 NM SW QUADRANT AND 90 NM NW
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 420 NM NE QUADRANT...240
NM SE QUADRANT...210 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 390 NM NW QUADRANT
WITH SEAS TO 31 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 450 NM N SEMICIRCLE S OF
31N...360 NM SE QUADRANT...240 NM SW QUADRANT AND 420 NM NW
QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA N
OF 21N BETWEEN 59W AND 71W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT
IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE NICOLE N OF AREA NEAR 32.2N 65.4W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 180 NM E SEMICIRCLE...100 NM SW QUADRANT AND 130 NM
NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 450 N SEMICIRCLE...
270 NM SE QUADRANT AND 240 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 35 FT.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 490 NM N SEMICIRCLE...360 NM SE QUADRANT AND
300 NM SW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER
OF AREA N OF 21N BETWEEN 59W AND 72W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8
TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE NICOLE NEAR 36.8N 60.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL NICOLE NEAR 40.5N
55.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL NICOLE NEAR 41.8N
53.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.ATLC W OF LINE FROM 31N66W TO 24N73W E OF 77W NE WINDS 20 TO 30
KT. SEAS 10 TO 18 FT IN N SWELL. ELSEWHERE N OF 21N W OF 70W
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT IN N SWELL E OF BAHAMAS.
.24 HOUR FORECAST W OF LINE FROM 31N69W TO 27N71W E OF 78W NE
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 11 TO 18 FT IN NE SWELL. ELSEWHERE N OF
21N W OF 721 WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT IN NE SWELL E
OF BAHAMAS.
.48 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS SECTION...W OF
LINE FROM 31N58W TO 21N72W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT
IN MIXED SWELL E OF BAHAMAS.

.ATLC LOW PRES JUST NE OF AREA NEAR 32N34W 1015 MB. N AND NE OF
LINE FROM 31N42W TO 28N35W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT
IN N SWELL...HIGHEST NE.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WEAKENING LOW PRES NEAR 30N39W 1015 MB. NE OF
LINE FROM 31N47W TO 24N35W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT
IN N TO NE SWELL. 
.36 HOUR FORECAST N OF 25N BETWEEN 41W AND 47W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN N TO NE SWELL.
.42 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.ATLC 42 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 37W S OF 15N. FROM
11N TO 14N E OF WAVE E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 38W S OF 15N. LITTLE 
CHANGE IN WIND AND SEAS.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER AGUIRRE. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.