000
FZNT02 KNHC 100931
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC MON OCT 10 2016

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND
GULF OF MEXICO. 

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC MON OCT 10.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC TUE OCT 11.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC WED OCT 12.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM NICOLE NEAR 25.0N 65.2W 989 MB AT 0900 UTC OCT
10 MOVING N OR 360 DEG AT 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT
GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 180 NM NE...160
NM SE...70 NM SW AND 60 NM NW QUADRANTS. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER
WITHIN 150 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...300 NM NE QUADRANT AND 60 NM
SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 22 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 360 NM NE AND
120 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NICOLE NEAR 26.6N 65.7W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN
RADIUS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE NICOLE NEAR 27.8N 66.8W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 180 NM E SEMICIRCLE...70 NM SW QUADRANT AND 80 NM NW
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER N OF 25N BETWEEN 64W AND 71W
WITH SEAS TO 32 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 90
NM SW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF
AREA N OF A LINE FROM 31N56W TO 22N64W TO 22N72W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE NICOLE NEAR 30.5N 66.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE NICOLE NEAR 34.5N 62.2W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE NICOLE NEAR 38.5N 56.3W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.ATLC COLD FRONT FROM 31N69W TO 24N74W. N OF 26N W OF FRONT N
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 16 FT IN NW TO N SWELL. ELSEWHERE N
OF 25N W OF 69W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 12 FT IN N SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST STATIONARY FRONT FROM 31N67W TO 25N72W. W OF
FRONT N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 10 TO 16 FT IN NW TO N
SWELL. ELSEWHERE N OF 22N W OF 68W EXCEPT SW OF BAHAMAS WINDS 20
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN N SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FRONT DISSIPATED. N OF 27N BETWEEN 71W AND 80W
NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 15 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 21N W OF
67W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN N SWELL EXCEPT SW OF
BAHAMAS.

.ATLC 24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 30N E OF 39W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 8 FT IN N SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 28N E OF 42W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8
TO 9 FT IN N SWELL. 

.GULF OF MEXICO N OF 23N E OF 85W NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS
LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER MUNDELL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.