000
FZNT02 KNHC 100313
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC MON OCT 10 2016

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND
GULF OF MEXICO. 

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC MON OCT 10.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC TUE OCT 11.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC WED OCT 12.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...

.TROPICAL STORM NICOLE NEAR 24.4N 65.3W 989 MB AT 0300 UTC OCT
10 MOVING N OR 360 DEG AT 2 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT
GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 100 NM NE
QUADRANT...160 NM SE QUADRANT...70 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM NW AND SE
QUADRANTS...330 NM NE QUADRANT AND 90 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS
TO 20 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 390 NM NE AND 120 NM SW SEMICIRCLES
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NICOLE NEAR 26.0N 65.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 70 NM W SEMICIRCLE...110 NM NE QUADRANT AND 170 NM
SE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER N OF 24N BETWEEN 60W AND 67W
WITH SEAS TO 22 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 360 NM E AND 120 NM W
SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 14 FT. REMAINDER OF
AREA N OF 21N BETWEEN 58W AND 68W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO
12 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.36 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE NICOLE NEAR 26.6N 65.9W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 80 NM W SEMICIRCLE...120 NM NE QUADRANT AND 180 NM
SE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER N OF 25N BETWEEN 61W AND 67W
WITH SEAS TO 22 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM NE AND 120 NM SW
SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 14 FT. REMAINDER OF
AREA N OF A LINE FROM 31N57W TO 24N59W TO 22N67W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE NICOLE NEAR 27.1N 66.4W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 80 NM W SEMICIRCLE...120 NM NE QUADRANT AND 180 NM SE
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER N OF 26N BETWEEN 61W AND 68W
WITH SEAS TO 25 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM SE SEMICIRCLE WINDS
20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA N OF A LINE FROM
31N56W TO 23N64W TO 22N67W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT
IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE NICOLE NEAR 28.5N 66.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE NICOLE NEAR 32.0N 64.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE NICOLE NEAR 37.0N 5

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.ATLC POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE MATTHEW N OF AREA WITH TRAILING COLD
FRONT FROM 31N69W TO 24N74W. N OF LINE FROM 31N70W TO 28N76W TO
29N80W NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT IN NW TO N
SWELL. ELSEWHERE N OF LINE FROM 31N67W TO 27N75W TO 29N80W WINDS
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN NW TO N SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT FROM 31N67W TO 21N74W. W OF FRONT
AND N OF 27N N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 16 FT IN NW TO
N SWELL. ELSEWHERE N OF 24N W OF 68W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN NW TO N SWELL N AND E OF BAHAMAS.
.48 HOUR FORECAST STATIONARY FRONT FROM 31N63W TO 22N75W. N OF
26N W OF FRONT TO 76W NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 12 TO 15 FT IN
NW TO N SWELL. ELSEWHERE N OF 21N W OF 67W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN N SWELL N AND E OF BAHAMAS.

.ATLC 24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 30N E OF 38W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 8 FT IN N SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 28N E OF 42W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8
TO 9 FT IN N SWELL. 

.GULF OF MEXICO S OF 21N W OF 95W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.
SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 21N W OF 95W N TO NW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.
SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.30 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.GULF OF MEXICO 24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 24N E OF 85W NE WINDS 20
TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER MCELROY. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.