000
FZNT02 KNHC 080315
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC SAT OCT 08 2016

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND
GULF OF MEXICO. 

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC SAT OCT 08.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SUN OCT 09.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC MON OCT 10.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...

.HURRICANE MATTHEW NEAR 31.2N 80.4W 948 MB AT 0300 UTC OCT 08
MOVING NNE OR 020 DEG AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT
GUSTS 110 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 160 NM NE
QUADRANT...140 NM SE QUADRANT...80 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 100 NM
NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM W
SEMICIRCLE...270 NM NE QUADRANT AND 180 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS
TO 36 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER ATLC FORECAST WATERS N OF 27N W OF 75W
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA W OF A
LINE FROM 27N76W TO 31N73W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT
IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MATTHEW NEAR 33.6N 77.8W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 180 NM NE QUADRANT...160 NM SE QUADRANT...80 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER OVER
FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 240 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 25 FT.
ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 300 NM SE SEMICIRCLE WINDS
20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 12 TO 17 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA OVER FORECAST
WATERS N OF 28N W OF 72W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN
MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MATTHEW NEAR 33.0N 74.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 140 NM E SEMICIRCLE...120 NM SW QUADRANT AND 100 NM
NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN
390 NM SW SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 22 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST
WATERS W OF A LINE FROM 27N74W TO 31N71W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS
10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA W OF A LINE FROM 26N72W TO 31N68W
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MATTHEW NEAR 30.0N 73.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION MATTHEW NEAR 27.5N 74.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION MATTHEW NEAR 26.0N 75.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM NICOLE NEAR 26.4N 65.2W 997 MB AT 0300 UTC OCT
08 MOVING S OR 180 DEG AT 5 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT
GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 70 NM E
SEMICIRCLE AND 40 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN
90 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 19 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM
NE AND 90 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT.
REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 25N TO 31N BETWEEN 62W AND 68W WINDS 20
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NICOLE NEAR 24.7N 64.9W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 80 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 50 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12
FT OR GREATER 120 NM N AND 30 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 16
FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM S AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20
TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 23N TO 29N
BETWEEN 62W AND 67W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN
MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NICOLE NEAR 25.5N 65.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 100 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM N AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS
TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 120 NM S
SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF
AREA BETWEEN 24N AND 29N BETWEEN 63W AND 68W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NICOLE NEAR 27.7N 65.8W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NICOLE NEAR 30.5N 66.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NICOLE NEAR 33.5N 65.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.ATLC 12 HOUR FORECAST N OF 30N BETWEEN 57W AND 66W WINDS 20 KT
OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN NE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.36 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.GULF OF MEXICO N OF 27N E OF 85W NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.
SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 
.12 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 

.GULF OF MEXICO 24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 20N W OF 95W NW WINDS 20
TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST S OF 20N W OF 95W NW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER MCELROY. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.