000
FZNT02 KNHC 072204
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC FRI OCT 07 2016

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND
GULF OF MEXICO. 

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC FRI OCT 07.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SAT OCT 08.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SUN OCT 09.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE MATTHEW NEAR 30.2N 80.7W 948 MB AT 2100 UTC OCT 07
MOVING N OR 360 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT
GUSTS 115 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 160 NM NE
QUADRANT...140 NM SE QUADRANT...80 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 120 NM
NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 30 NM W
SEMICIRCLE...270 NM NE QUADRANT AND 210 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS
TO 42 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER ATLC FORECAST WATERS N OF 26N W OF 75W
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA W OF A
LINE FROM 26N76W TO 31N71W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT IN
MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MATTHEW N OF AREA NEAR 33.0N 79.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 180 NM NE QUADRANT...160 NM SE QUADRANT...80 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 100 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER OVER
FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 270 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 25 FT.
ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 300 NM SE SEMICIRCLE WINDS
20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 12 TO 17 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA OVER FORECAST
WATERS N OF 28N W OF 72W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN
MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MATTHEW NEAR 33.5N 75.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 150 NM E SEMICIRCLE...120 NM SW QUADRANT AND 90 NM
NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN
270 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 22 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST
WATERS N OF 28N W OF 73W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT.
REMAINDER OF AREA N OF 27N W OF 71W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MATTHEW NEAR 30.0N 74.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MATTHEW NEAR 27.0N 76.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION MATTHEW NEAR 26.0N 77.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM NICOLE NEAR 27.0N 65.2W 994 MB AT 2100 UTC OCT
07 MOVING S OR 185 DEG AT 4 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT
GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 70 NM E
SEMICIRCLE AND 40 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN
90 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 20 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM OF
CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA N
OF 25N BETWEEN 62W AND 69W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT IN
MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NICOLE NEAR 25.4N 64.8W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN
RADIUS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO
12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA N OF 22N BETWEEN 62W AND 69W WINDS 20
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NICOLE NEAR 25.5N 65.3W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN
RADIUS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 120 NM S SEMICIRCLE
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA N OF 21N
BETWEEN 59W AND 71W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN
MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NICOLE NEAR 27.4N 66.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NICOLE NEAR 29.7N 66.7W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NICOLE NEAR 32.6N 66.4W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.GULF OF MEXICO N OF 27N E OF 85W NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.
SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 

.GULF OF MEXICO 24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 20N W OF 95W NW WINDS 20
TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF 20N W OF 95W NW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER MCELROY. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.