000
FZNT02 KNHC 051540
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC WED OCT 05 2016

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC WED OCT 05.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC THU OCT 06.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC FRI OCT 07.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...

.HURRICANE MATTHEW NEAR 21.8N 75.2W 962 MB AT 1500 UTC OCT 05
MOVING NW OR 325 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT
GUSTS 125 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 150 NM NE
QUADRANT...140 NM SE QUADRANT...80 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 90 NM NW
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM NW AND SE
QUADRANTS...180 NM NE QUADRANT AND 60 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS
TO 36 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 19N TO 27N BETWEEN 69W AND 77W WINDS 20
TO 33 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MATTHEW NEAR 24.8N 77.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT GUSTS 140 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 150 NM E SEMICIRCLE...80 NM SW QUADRANT AND 100 NM NW
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM NE QUADRANT...120
NM SE QUADRANT...60 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT WITH
SEAS TO 40 FT. FROM 22N TO 29N E OF 72W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS
TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 23N TO 30N BETWEEN 70W AND 79W
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN SE SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MATTHEW NEAR 28.2N 80.1W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT GUSTS 140 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 170 NM E SEMICIRCLE...100 NM SW QUADRANT AND 130 NM NW
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 270 NM NE QUADRANT...120
NM SE QUADRANT...AND 30 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 40 FT.
ELSEWHERE OVER ATLC FORECAST WATERS N OF 24N E OF 75W WINDS 20
TO 33 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA N OF 25N BETWEEN 72W
AND 75W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN SE SWELL. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MATTHEW NEAR 31.5N 80.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT GUSTS 115 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MATTHEW NEAR 32.5N 76.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MATTHEW NEAR 32.0N 74.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...

.TROPICAL STORM NICOLE NEAR 25.0N 62.8W 1004 MB AT 1500 UTC OCT
05 MOVING WNW OR 300 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT
GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM E
SEMICIRCLE AND 0 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN
90 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 30 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 16 FT.
ELSEWHERE FROM 24N TO 27N BETWEEN 60W AND 64W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT.
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 24N TO 28N BETWEEN 58W
AND 64W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NICOLE NEAR 27.3N 64.8W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 60 NM E SEMICIRCLE...20 NM SW QUADRANT AND 0 NM NW
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM NE SEMICIRCLE AND
30 NM SW SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 15 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 26N TO
29N BETWEEN 63W AND 66W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT.
REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 26N TO 31N BETWEEN 61W AND 66W WINDS 20
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NICOLE NEAR 28.3N 64.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 60 NM NE QUADRANT...70 NM SE QUADRANT...50 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 40 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN
90 NM NE SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 15 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 90 NM
OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NICOLE NEAR 27.3N 63.1W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NICOLE NEAR 27.5N 63.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NICOLE NEAR 29.5N 64.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.ATLC FROM 14N TO 19N BETWEEN 43W AND 49W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25
KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.ATLC 30 HOUR FORECAST N OF 30N E OF 40W NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.
SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 29N E OF 42W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.
SEAS 8 TO 9 FT.

.GULF OF MEXICO 06 HOUR FORECAST N OF 28N E OF 87W NE TO E WINDS
20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 25N E OF 85W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.
SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER LATTO. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.