000
FZNT02 KNHC 050318
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC WED OCT 05 2016

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC WED OCT 05.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC THU OCT 06.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC FRI OCT 07.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...

.HURRICANE MATTHEW NEAR 20.4N 74.4W 950 MB AT 0300 UTC OCT 05
MOVING N OR 350 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT
GUSTS 140 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 140 NM NE
QUADRANT...150 NM SE QUADRANT...80 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 100 NM
NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM N
SEMICIRCLE...120 NM SE QUADRANT AND 150 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS
TO 28 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM NE AND 150 NM SW SEMICIRCLES
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 14N
TO 18N BETWEEN 66W AND 78W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT
IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MATTHEW NEAR 23.3N 76.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT GUSTS 140 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 160 NM NE QUADRANT...150 NM SE QUADRANT...90 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER
WITHIN270 NM NE AND 90 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 30 FT.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM NE AND 120 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO
33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA NW OF A LINE FROM
23N79W TO 28N70W TO 31N69W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT
IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MATTHEW NEAR 26.7N 79.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT GUSTS 140 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 180 NM E SEMICIRCLE...110 NM SW QUADRANT AND 140 NM NW
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 360 NM NE AND 150 NM SW
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 31 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 360 NM NE AND
150 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS TO 8 TO 12 FT.
REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 20N TO 29N BETWEEN 70W AND 78W WINDS 20
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MATTHEW NEAR 30.3N 80.8W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT GUSTS 120 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MATTHEW NEAR 33.2N 78.1W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MATTHEW NEAR 37.0N 72.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...

.TROPICAL STORM NICOLE NEAR 24.2N 61.3W 1005 MB AT 0300 UTC OCT
05 MOVING WNW OR 300 DEG AT 5 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT
GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM E
SEMICIRCLE AND 0 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN
90 NM NE SEMICIRCLE AND 0 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 16 FT.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM NE SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT AND SEAS
8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NICOLE NEAR 26.5N 63.8W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER
WITHIN 120 NM N SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN
150 NM N AND 30 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12
FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 25N TO 29N BETWEEN 62W AND 66W WINDS
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NICOLE NEAR 28.5N 64.9W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 50 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 0 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM NE SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 17 FT.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM NE AND 30 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO
33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION NICOLE NEAR 28.3N 63.7W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION NICOLE NEAR 28.3N 62.7W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION NICOLE NEAR 30.0N 62.4W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.ATLC FROM 16N TO 19N BETWEEN 42W AND 48W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 8 FT IN E SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 16N TO 20N BETWEEN 46W AND 52W WINDS 20
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN MIXED N AND NE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.GULF OF MEXICO 36 HOUR FORECAST N OF 28N E OF 85W NE WINDS 20
TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 26N E OF 86W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.
SEAS TO 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER MCELROY. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.