000
FZNT02 KNHC 042136
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC TUE OCT 04 2016

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC TUE OCT 04.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC WED OCT 05.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC THU OCT 06.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE MATTHEW NEAR 19.8N 74.3W 949 MB AT 2100 UTC OCT 04
MOVING N OR 360 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT
GUSTS 145 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 80 NM W
SEMICIRCLE...100 NM NE QUADRANT AND 150 NM SE QUADRANT.  SEAS 12
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM NE QUADRANT...270 NM SE
QUADRANT...180 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS
TO 27 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM IN THE N AND 210 NM IN THE S
SEMICIRCLE OF MATTHEW WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MATTHEW NEAR 22.5N 75.3W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT GUSTS 140 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 160 NM NE QUADRANT...150 NM SE QUADRANT...100 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER
WITHIN 240 NM IN THE NE AND 90 NM IN THE SW SEMICIRCLES WITH
SEAS TO 28 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 270 NM OF THE CENTER IN THE NE
AND 120 NM IN THE SW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT AND SEAS 8 TO
12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MATTHEW NEAR 25.9N 78.2W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT GUSTS 140 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 180 NM E SEMICIRCLE...110 NM SW QUADRANT AND 140 NM NW
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 240
IN THE NE AND 90 NM IN THE SW SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 30 FT.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM IN THE NE AND 120 NM IN THE SW
SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT AND SEAS TO 8 TO 12 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MATTHEW NEAR 29.5N 80.3W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT GUSTS 120 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MATTHEW NEAR 33.5N 78.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MATTHEW NEAR 40.0N 71.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM NICOLE NEAR 24.1N 61.1W 1005 MB AT 2100 UTC OCT
04 MOVING NW OR 305 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT
GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM E
SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM E SEMICIRCLE WITH
SEAS TO 14 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33
KT AND SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NICOLE NEAR 26.5N 63.9W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN
RADIUS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER.
SEAS TO 15 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33
KT AND SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NICOLE NEAR 29.0N 66.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 60 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 30 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM IN THE E SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 14
FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33KT AND SEAS
8 TO 12 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION NICOLE NEAR 29.0N 64.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION NICOLE NEAR 29.0N 64.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION NICOLE NEAR 30.0N 63.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.ATLC FROM 15N TO 19N E OF 50W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.
SEAS TO 8 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 15N TO 20N BETWEEN 42W AND 54W WINDS 20
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN MIXED N AND NE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 17N TO 21N BETWEEN 52W AND 57W WINDS 20
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN MIXED N AND NE SWELL.

.CARIBBEAN 24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 17N BETWEEN 72W AND 77W...
INCLUDING THE WINDWARD PASSAGE..S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS
TO 9 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 

.GULF OF MEXICO 36 HOUR FORECAST N OF 28N E OF 88W NE WINDS 20
TO 25 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 27N E OF 86W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.
SEAS TO 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER COBB. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.