000
FZNT02 KNHC 021555
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC SUN OCT 2 2016

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC SUN OCT 2.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC MON OCT  3.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC TUE OCT  4.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE MATTHEW NEAR 14.0N 74.6W 947 MB AT 1500 UTC OCT 02
MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 3 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT
GUSTS 145 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM S
SEMICIRCLE...180 NM NE QUADRANT AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT. WINDS 20
TO 33 KT AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM NE AND SW
QUADRANTS...240 NM NW QUADRANT AND 120 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO
33 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 10.5N TO 18.5N BETWEEN 70W AND 81W WINDS 20
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MATTHEW NEAR 16.1N 75.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT GUSTS 140 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 180 NM NE QUADRANT...100 NM SE QUADRANT...70 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 150 NM NW QUADRANT. WINDS 20 TO 33 KT AND SEAS 12
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM N AND 120 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS
TO 33 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 12N TO 18N BETWEEN 70W AND 80W WINDS 20
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL. ELSEWHERE IN WINDWARD
PASSAGE S OF 20N NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MATTHEW NEAR 19.5N 74.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT GUSTS 135 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 180 NM NE QUADRANT...140 NM SE QUADRANT...100 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 150 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN
120 NM SW QUADRANT AND 210 NM NE SEMICIRCLE...INCLUDING WINDWARD
PASSAGE AND ITS APPROACHES...WITH SEAS TO 31 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN
135 NM SW QUADRANT AND 240 NM NE SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT.
SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 240 NM SW QUADRANT IN
CARIBBEAN AND 270 NM NE SEMICIRCLE IN ATLC WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MATTHEW NEAR 23.2N 75.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT GUSTS 120 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MATTHEW NEAR 26.5N 76.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT GUSTS 115 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MATTHEW NEAR 29.5N 76.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.ATLC WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 22N52W TO 24N56W TO 24N59W TO 22N58W
TO 21N57W TO 20N53W TO 22N52W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN SE
SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 25N57W TO 25N58W TO
25N60W TO 24N60W TO 24N58W TO 25N57W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8
FT IN SE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER CHRISTENSEN. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.