000
FZNT02 KNHC 221521
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC THU SEP 22 2016

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC THU SEP 22.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC FRI SEP 23.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SAT SEP 24.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL DEPRESSION KARL NEAR 25.0N 62.3W 1007 MB AT 1500 UTC
SEP 22 MOVING NW OR 305 DEG AT 15 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30
KT GUSTS 40 KT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM NE
QUADRANT...120 NM SE QUADRANT...0 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 150 NM NW
QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 15 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM NE
SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA
N OF 22N BETWEEN 54W AND 65W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11
FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARL NEAR 28.3N 64.8W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 50 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...90 NM NE QUADRANT AND 0 NM SW
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM NE QUADRANT...60
NM S SEMICIRCLE...AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 19 FT.
ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 360 NM NE SEMICIRCLE AND
120 NM SW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
REMAINDER OF AREA N OF 25N BETWEEN 57W AND 69W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARL NEAR 32.3N 62.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 120 NM E SEMICIRCLE...80 NM SW QUADRANT AND 70 NM NW
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 210
NE QUADRANT...210 NM SE QUADRANT...60 NM SW QUADRANT...100 NM NW
QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 25 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS
WITHIN 330 NM SE QUADRANT AND 180 NM SW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33
KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA N OF 28N BETWEEN 56W
AND 69W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KARL NEAR 38.0N 50.8W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL KARL NEAR 48.0N
32.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST...ABSORBED.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM LISA NEAR 20.0N 34.0W 999 MB AT 1500 UTC SEP 22
MOVING NW OR 310 DEG AT 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT
GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 0 NM S
SEMICIRCLE...150 NM NE QUADRANT AND 80 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 120 NM S SEMICIRCLE
WITH SEAS TO 15 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 300 NM
NE SEMICIRCLE AND 30 NM SE SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8
TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 15N TO 27N E OF 45W WINDS 20 KT
OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM LISA NEAR 22.5N 36.4W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 140 NM NE QUADRANT...20 NM SE QUADRANT...0 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 80 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN
180 NM NE QUADRANT...90 NM SE QUADRANT...0 NM SW QUADRANT...AND
150 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 17 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST
WATERS WITHIN 240 NM NE SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM SW SEMICIRCLE WINDS
20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 19N TO 29N
E OF 45W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION LISA NEAR 25.0N 39.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER
WITHIN 150 NM NE QUADRANT...75 NM SE QUADRANT...0 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 105 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 14 FT. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 180 NM NE SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM SW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO
33 KT. SEA 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA N OF 23N E OF 46W WINDS
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW LISA NEAR 28.0N
41.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW LISA NEAR 32.0N
39.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW LISA NEAR 35.5N
37.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER LEWITSKY. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.