000
FZNT02 KNHC 220943
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC THU SEP 22 2016

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC THU SEP 22.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC FRI SEP 23.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SAT SEP 24.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL DEPRESSION KARL NEAR 24.0N 60.7W 1007 MB AT 0900 UTC
SEP 22 MOVING NW OR 315 DEG AT 14 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30
KT GUSTS 40 KT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM NW AND SE
QUADRANTS...210 NM NE QUADRANT AND 0 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO
14 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 360 NM NE SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM SW
QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. WITHIN 180 NM SW
SEMICIRCLE AND REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 20N TO 30N BETWEEN 52W AND
64W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARL NEAR 27.0N 63.8W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 100 NM NE QUADRANT...30 NM SE QUADRANT...0 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 50 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN
240 NM NE SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM SW SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 17 FT.
ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 360 NM NE AND 90 NM SW
SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF
AREA N OF 24N BETWEEN 56W AND 68W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO
10 FT IN MIXED SWELL
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARL NEAR 31.5N 63.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 120 NM NE QUADRANT...100 NM SE QUADRANT...80 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN
240 NM NE...210 NM SE...45 NM SW AND 90 NM NW QUADRANTS WITH
SEAS TO 25 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 420 NM SE
AND 180 NM SW QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
REMAINDER OF AREA N OF 27N BETWEEN 56W AND 70W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KARL NEAR 36.5N 54.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL KARL NEAR 47.0N
34.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST...ABSORBED.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM LISA NEAR 19.9N 34.0W 1004 MB AT 0900 UTC SEP 22
MOVING NW OR 310 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT
GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM NW AND SE
QUADRANTS...110 NM NE QUADRANT AND 0 NM SW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT
OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM NE QUADRANT...150 NM SE QUADRANT...120
NM SW QUADRANT...AND 180 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 19 FT. OVER
FORECAST WATERS FROM 19N TO 22N E OF 40W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25
KT. SEAS 9 TO 11 FT IN MIXED NE AND SE SWELL. REMAINDER OF AREA
FROM 15N TO 25N E OF 46W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT IN
MIXED NE AND SE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION LISA NEAR 22.3N 36.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER
WITHIN 180 NM N AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 16 FT.
ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 210 NM NE AND 90 NM SW
SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF
AREA FROM 17N TO 28N E OF 46W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10
FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION LISA NEAR 25.0N 38.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER
WITHIN 120 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 14
FT. OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 180 NM NE AND 75 N SW
SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF
AREA FROM 22N TO 30N E OF 45W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11
FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW LISA NEAR 27.5N
41.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW LISA NEAR 31.5N
40.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW LISA NEAR 35.0N
38.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.48 HOUR CARIBBEAN FORECAST FROM 11N TO 13N BETWEEN 68W AND 72W
E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER STRIPLING. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.