000
FZNT02 KNHC 201517
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC TUE SEP 20 2016

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC TUE SEP 20.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC WED SEP 21.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC THU SEP 22.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM KARL NEAR 20.0N 54.3W 1006 MB AT 1500 UTC SEP 20
MOVING W OR 275 DEG AT 15 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT
GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 0 NM S
SEMICIRCLE...120 NM NE QUADRANT AND 80 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM NE QUADRANT...120 NM SE QUADRANT...
30 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 210 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 18 FT.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 390 NM NE SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8
TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 17N TO 29N BETWEEN 40W AND 58W
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARL NEAR 21.9N 58.3W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 130 NM NE QUADRANT...50 NM SE QUADRANT...0 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 100 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN
180 NM N SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SE QUADRANT... AND 90 NM SW QUADRANT
WITH SEAS TO 21 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 390 NM NE SEMICIRCLE AND 60
NM SW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER
OF AREA FROM 19N TO 30N BETWEEN 50W AND 63W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARL NEAR 25.1N 62.7W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 140 NM NE QUADRANT...80 NM SE QUADRANT...50 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 110 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN
180 NM N SEMICIRCLE...75 NM SE QUADRANT AND 45 NM SW QUADRANT
WITH SEAS TO 28 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 360 NM NE SEMICIRCLE AND 60
NM SW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER
OF AREA N OF 23N BETWEEN 54W AND 67W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8
TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KARL NEAR 27.6N 65.2W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KARL NEAR 31.0N 63.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KARL NEAR 36.5N 54.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM LISA NEAR 15.3N 30.4W 1007 MB AT 1500 UTC SEP 20
MOVING NW OR 305 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT
GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM NW AND SE
QUADRANTS...60 NM NE QUADRANT AND 0 NM SW QUADRANT. OVER
FORECAST WATERS FROM 16N TO 27N E OF 40W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED NE AND SE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM LISA NEAR 17.3N 33.2W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.  LITTLE CHANGE IN
RADIUS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER
WITH SEAS TO 16 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS FROM 20N TO
23N E OF 39W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 16N TO 25N E OF 44W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED NE AND SE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM LISA NEAR 19.1N 36.4W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 60 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...70 NM NE QUADRANT AND
40 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM N
SEMICIRCLE...30 NM SE QUADRANT...AND 75 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS
TO 20 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 300 NM NE
SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM SW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO
12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 16N TO 27N E OF 45W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM LISA NEAR 21.7N 39.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION LISA NEAR 24.5N 41.4W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW LISA NEAR 28.3N
43.6W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER LEWITSKY. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.