000
FZNT02 KNHC 191504
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC MON SEP 19 2016

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC MON SEP 19.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC TUE SEP 20.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC WED SEP 21.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM KARL NEAR 18.6N 48.3W 1006 MB AT 1500 UTC SEP 19
MOVING W OR 275 DEG AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT
GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 100 NM NE AND 80
NM NW QUADRANTS. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 290 NM N AND 30 NM
S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 330 NM NE AND
75 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 420 NM NE AND 120 NM SW SEMICIRCLES OF
CENTER WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT PRIMARILY IN MIXED
SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARL NEAR 19.5N 52.8W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 120 NM NE...40 NM SE AND 80 NM NW QUADRANTS. SEAS 12 FT
OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM N AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO
21 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 270 NM NE AND 90 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WINDS
20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 480 NM NE
AND 180 NM SW SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO
10 FT PRIMARILY IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARL NEAR 21.6N 57.7W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 140 NM NE...60 NM SE AND 110 NM NW QUADRANTS. SEAS 12 FT
OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM N AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO
27 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM NE AND 120 NM SW SEMICIRCLES
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 420
NM NE AND 180 NM SW SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS TO 10 FT PRIMARILY IN MIXED SWELL.   
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARL NEAR 24.5N 62.3W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KARL NEAR 27.5N 65.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KARL NEAR 29.5N 65.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.ATLC FROM 23N TO 30N E OF 41W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT
PRIMARILY IN E SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST E OF LINE FROM 16N35W TO 26N46W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT PRIMARILY IN E SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES 1009 MB...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...
E OF AREA NEAR 18N33W. FROM 21N TO 25N E OF 37W NE WINDS 20 TO
25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 16N TO 26N E OF 43W WINDS
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT PRIMARILY IN E SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER NELSON. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.