000
FZNT02 KNHC 191003
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC MON SEP 19 2016

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC MON SEP 19.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC TUE SEP 20.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC WED SEP 21.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM KARL NEAR 18.2N 47.7W 1006 MB AT 0900 UTC SEP 19
MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 13 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT
GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 0 NM S
SEMICIRCLE...100 NM NE QUADRANT AND 80 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 0 NM S SEMICIRCLE...240 NM NE QUADRANT AND
150 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 16 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 360 NM N
SEMICIRCLE AND 300 NM SE QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO
11 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 16N TO 29N BETWEEN 40W AND 51W
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARL NEAR 19.1N 52.1W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 120 NM NE QUADRANT...50 NM SE QUADRANT...0 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 80 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN
240 NM N SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 20 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 360 NM
NE AND 90 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 17N TO 29N BETWEEN 43W AND 57W WINDS 20
KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARL NEAR 21.0N 57.1W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 140 NM NE QUADRANT...80 NM SE QUADRANT...40 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN
240 NM NE...90 NM SE...0 NM SW...AND 150 NM NW QUADRANTS WITH
SEAS TO 26 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 330 NM NE...210 NM SE...60 NM
SW...AND 240 NM NW QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 19N TO 30N BETWEEN 48W AND 62W WINDS 20
KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARL NEAR 24.0N 62.2W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KARL NEAR 27.0N 65.2W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KARL NEAR 29.5N 65.7W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.ATLC FROM 23N TO 28N E OF 38W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT
IN E SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 18N TO 28N E OF 42W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS TO 10 FT IN E SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 19N TO 25N E OF 40W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO
25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 16N TO 25N E OF 44W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN E SWELL.

.CARIBBEAN FROM 11N TO 14N BETWEEN 69W AND 76W NE TO E WINDS 20
TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.  
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 12N TO 14N BETWEEN 69W AND 72W E WINDS 20
TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.30 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER STRIPLING. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.