000
FZNT02 KNHC 190246
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC MON SEP 19 2016

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC MON SEP 19.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC TUE SEP 20.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC WED SEP 21.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM KARL NEAR 18.3N 46.3W 1006 MB AT 0300 UTC SEP 19
MOVING W OR 275 DEG AT 13 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT
GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 100 NM NE
QUADRANT AND 80 NM NW QUADRANT.SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 30
NM S SEMICIRCLE...210 NM NE QUADRANT AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT WITH
SEAS TO 16 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM N AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLES
OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA
FROM 14N TO 29N BETWEEN 38W AND 50W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8
TO 10 FT PRIMARILY IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARL NEAR 19.1N 50.9W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 100 NM NE QUADRANT...50 NM SE QUADRANT...AND 80 NM NW
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM N AND 60 NM S
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM N AND 90
NM S SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 17N TO 29N BETWEEN 40W AND 55W WINDS 20
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT PRIMARILY IN MIXED SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARL NEAR 20.7N 55.9W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 150 NM NE QUADRANT...80 NM SE QUADRANT...40 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 100 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN
210 NM N AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 20 FT. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 300 NM N AND 120 NM S SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO
33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 19N TO 29N
BETWEEN 45W AND 60W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT
PRIMARILY IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARL NEAR 23.1N 60.9W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KARL NEAR 26.5N 65.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KARL NEAR 28.8N 66.9W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.ATLC 24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 20N TO 28N E OF 40W NE TO E WINDS 20
TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN E SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 17N TO 25N E OF 40W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO
25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 20N TO 25N BETWEEN 40W
AND 45W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN E SWELL.

.CARIBBEAN FROM 11N TO 13N BETWEEN 69W AND 75W NE TO E WINDS 20
TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT.  
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 12N TO 13.5N BETWEEN 69W AND 73W NE TO E
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE. 

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER GR. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.