000
FZNT02 KNHC 171452
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC SAT SEP 17 2016

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC SAT SEP 17.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SUN SEP 18.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC MON SEP 19.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM KARL NEAR 18.3N 39.0W 1004 MB AT 1500 UTC SEP 17
MOVING W OR 265 DEG AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT
GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 210 NM NE AND 100
NM NW QUADRANTS. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 270 NM NE... 45 NM
SE...150 NM SW AND 210 NM NW QUADRANTS WITH SEAS TO 19 FT.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM NE AND 120 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO
33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 420 NM N AND
180 NM S SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 10
FT PRIMARILY IN MIXED SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARL NEAR 17.8N 43.6W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 150 NM NE AND 90 NM NW QUADRANTS. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER
WITHIN 180 NM NE AND 120 SW SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 20 FT.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM NE AND 120 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO
33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 360 NM NE AND
180 NM SW SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 10
FT PRIMARILY IN MIXED SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARL NEAR 18.3N 48.7W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 90 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...150 NM NE AND 30 NM SW
QUADRANTS. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM NE AND 120 SW
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 23 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM NE AND
180 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 11 FT.
REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 360 NM N AND 210 NM SW SEMICIRCLES OF
CENTER WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT PRIMARILY IN MIXED
SWELL.  
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARL NEAR 20.2N 54.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARL NEAR 22.5N 59.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KARL NEAR 25.0N 63.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.TROPICAL DEPRESSION JULIA STATIONARY NEAR 30.2N 76.2W 1010 MB
AT 1500 UTC SEP 17. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT
NEAR CENTER. OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL REMNANT LOW JULIA NEAR 31.0N
77.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT NEAR CENTER.
OVER FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL REMNANT LOW JULIA NEAR 32.2N
77.1W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT NEAR CENTER.
OVER FORECAST WATERS WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

.CARIBBEAN 12 HOUR FORECAST FROM 10.5N TO 13N BETWEEN 73W AND
77W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 11N TO 13N BETWEEN 74W AND 77W NE WINDS
20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.30 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER NELSON. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.