000
FZNT02 KNHC 162138
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC TUE OCT 16 2012

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC TUE OCT 16.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC WED OCT 17.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC THU OCT 18.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE RAFAEL NEAR 30.6N 63.8W 969 MB AT 2100 UTC OCT 16
MOVING NNE OR 020 DEG AT 23 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT
GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 180 NM E 
SEMICIRCLE...100 NM SW QUADRANT AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 300 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 360 NM S SEMICIRCLE 
WITH SEAS TO 38 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE RAFAEL NEAR 38.8N 57.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 240 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 150 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT 
OR GREATER OVER FORECAST WATERS N OF 28N BETWEEN 53W AND 61W 
WITH SEAS TO 16 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL RAFAEL NEAR 46.6N
40.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS WITHIN 180 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 270 NM W SEMICIRCLE. 
SEAS LESS THAN 12 FT OVER FORECAST WATERS.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL RAFAEL NEAR 52.5N
29.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL RAFAEL NEAR 50.5N
34.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL RAFAEL NEAR 44.0N 
30.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST

.ATLC...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...OVER FORECAST WATERS 
WITHIN 590 NM E AND 240 NM W SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 
33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE E OF BAHAMAS N OF 23N BETWEEN 
52W AND 79W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED NE AND 
SE SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS....OVER FORECAST 
WATERS W OF LINE FROM 31N50W TO 26N58W SE TO S WINDS 20 TO 30 
KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MERGING SE AND SW SWELL. ELSEWHERE N OF 
25N BETWEEN 52W AND 64W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT 
PRIMARILY IN SE TO S SWELL. N OF 30N BETWEEN 64W AND 70W WINDS 
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...N OF 30N 
BETWEEN 51W AND 57W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED 
SW TO W SWELL.

.ATLC WITHIN 180 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE FROM 14N40W TO 22N51W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN PRIMARILY E TO SE SWELL.
.18 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.ATLC 24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 28N E OF 39W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 FT IN NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 24N E OF 37W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 
8 FT IN NW SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER SCHAUER. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.