000
FZNT02 KNHC 142159
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC SUN OCT 14 2012

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC SUN OCT 14.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC MON OCT 15.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC TUE OCT 16.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM RAFAEL NEAR 20.7N 64.7W 996 MB AT 2100 UTC OCT
14 MOVING NNW OR 330 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT
GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 150 NM E 
SEMICIRCLE...0 NM SW QUADRANT AND 100 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT 
OR GREATER WITHIN 270 NM NE QUADRANT...180 NM SE QUADRANT...0 NM 
SW QUADRANT...AND 240 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 21 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM RAFAEL NEAR 23.5N 66.2W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 150 NM E SEMICIRCLE...30 NM SW QUADRANT AND 100 NM 
NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 360 NM N SEMICIRCLE 
AND 180 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 27 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE RAFAEL NEAR 29.3N 64.3W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 180 NM E SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SW QUADRANT AND 100 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 360 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 
180 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 33 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE RAFAEL NEAR 39.5N 56.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL RAFAEL NEAR 48.5N
42.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL RAFAEL NEAR 49.0N
30.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST

.ATLC AND CARIBBEAN...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 390 
NM NE SEMICIRCLE AND ELSEWHERE 60 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 300 NM SE 
QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ATLC ELSEWHERE FROM 
17N TO 27N BETWEEN 57W AND 73W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 
FT IN SE SWELL.
.24 HOUR ATLC FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 
480 NM NE QUADRANT...270 SE AND NW QUADRANTS AND 240 SW 
QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE E OF 
BAHAMAS N OF 19N BETWEEN 57W AND 76W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 
TO 12 FT IN PRIMARILY SE SWELL.
.48 HOUR ATLC FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...OVER 
FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 480 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 240 NM W 
SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE E OF 
BAHAMAS N OF 23N BETWEEN 52W AND 80W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 
TO 12 FT IN PRIMARILY SE TO S SWELL.

.ATLC WITHIN 90 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE FROM 31N65W TO 28N77W AND 
S OF 27N W OF 79W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN 
NE SWELL. ELSEWHERE E OF BAHAMAS TO LINE FROM 31N56W TO 26N73W 
TO 20N73W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 9 TO 13 FT IN NE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS MERGED WITH RAFAEL.

.ATLC FROM 14N TO 21N E OF 40W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN 
SE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 13N TO 21N E OF 44W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 FT IN E TO SE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 

.GULF OF MEXICO S OF 25N E OF 87W NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 
8 TO 10 FT IN YUCATAN CHANNEL AND STRAITS OF FLORIDA.
.06 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER SCHAUER. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.