000
FZNT02 KNHC 140310
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC SAT OCT 13 2012

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC SAT OCT 13.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SUN OCT 14.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC MON OCT 15.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM RAFAEL NEAR 18.4N 63.6W 1004 MB AT 0300 UTC OCT
14 MOVING N OR 355 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT
GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 150 NM E 
SEMICIRCLE AND 0 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 0 
NM W SEMICIRCLE...270 NM NE QUADRANT AND 75 NM SE QUADRANT WITH 
SEAS TO 14 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM RAFAEL NEAR 21.6N 65.4W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 120 NM E SEMICIRCLE...50 NM SW QUADRANT AND 70 NM 
NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 330 NM N AND 120 NM S 
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 21 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE RAFAEL NEAR 25.8N 66.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 150 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 330 NM N AND 240 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 30 
FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE RAFAEL NEAR 33.5N 62.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM RAFAEL NEAR 44.5N 55.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL RAFAEL NEAR 50.0N
46.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST

.ATLC AND CARIBBEAN...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN RAFAEL WARNING...WITHIN 
90 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE 
FROM 14N TO 26N BETWEEN 57W AND 67W E TO SE WINDS 20 T0 33 KT 
EXCEPT NE TO E WINDS W OF RAFAEL. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ATLC FROM 14N 
TO 22N BETWEEN 50W AND 57W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN 
E SWELL.
.24 HOUR ATLC FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN RAFAEL 
WARNING...WITHIN 360 NM NE AND 180 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 
33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE ATLC FROM 19N TO 29N BETWEEN 
57W AND 72W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN SE SWELL.

.48 HOUR ATLC FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN RAFAEL WARNING... 
WITHIN 300 NM NE AND 240 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 21N E OF BAHAMAS BETWEEN 57W AND 
76W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN SE SWELL.

.ATLC N OF BAHAMAS W OF LINE FROM 31N63W TO 22N74W NE WINDS 20 
TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN NE SWELL EXCEPT 10 TO 14 FT FROM 
25N TO 27N W OF 73W TO BAHAMAS.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN RAFAEL WARNING...W OF LINE 
FROM 31N53W TO 27N70W TO 20N77W AND N OF BAHAMAS NE WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN NE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS MERGED WITH RAFAEL.

.CARIBBEAN N OF 20N BETWEEN 84W AND 87W...INCLUDING THE YUCATAN 
CHANNEL...NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.GULF OF MEXICO S OF 25N E OF 87W NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 
8 FT EXCEPT TO 10 FT IN STRAITS OF FLORIDA.
.18 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER SCHAUER. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.