000
FZNT02 KNHC 131524
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC SAT OCT 13 2012

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC SAT OCT 13.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SUN OCT 14.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC MON OCT 15.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM RAFAEL NEAR 15.9N 64.1W 1006 MB AT 1500 UTC OCT
13 MOVING NNW OR 330 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT 
GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 150 NM SE 
QUADRANT ONLY. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 390 NM NE QUADRANT 
WITH SEAS TO 13 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM RAFAEL NEAR 19.2N 65.2W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 120 NM E SEMICIRCLE...30 NM SW QUADRANT AND 50 NM 
NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 360 NM N AND NE 
QUADRANTS WITH SEAS TO 16 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM RAFAEL NEAR 22.6N 67.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 120 NM NE QUADRANT...150 NM SE QUADRANT...60 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
360 NM N SEMICIRCLE...210 NM SW AND 300 NM SE QUADRANTS WITH 
SEAS TO 24 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE RAFAEL NEAR 28.0N 66.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM RAFAEL NEAR 38.0N 61.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL RAFAEL NEAR 45.0N
54.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST

.ATLC AND CARIBBEAN...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN RAFAEL WARNING...FROM 
14N TO 24N BETWEEN 55W AND 65W E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT EXCEPT 
NE TO E WINDS W OF RAFAEL. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. ATLC ELSEWHERE FROM 
12N TO 23N BETWEEN 45W AND 65W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 
FT IN E TO SE SWELL.
.24 HOUR ATLC AND CARIBBEAN FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN RAFAEL 
WARNING...WITHIN 480 NM NE AND 180 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 
33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 14 FT. ELSEWHERE ATLC FROM 17N TO 28N BETWEEN 
55W AND 70W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT IN SE SWELL.
.48 HOUR ATLC FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN RAFAEL WARNING... 
WITHIN 480 NM NE AND 180 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. 
SEAS 10 TO 18 FT. WITHIN 600 NM NE AND 300 NM SW SEMICIRCLES 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.

.REMNANTS OF PATTY NEAR 24.8N 72.6W 1010 MB AT 1500 UTC OCT 13 
MOVING WSW OR 250 DEG AT 4 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT 
GUSTS 35 KT. ELSEWHERE NW OF LINE 31N67W TO 21N76W NE WINDS 20 
TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST NW OF LINE 31N65W TO 22N79W NE TO E WINDS 20 
TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.

.CARIBBEAN N OF 15N BETWEEN 78W AND 87W NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT 
WITH GUSTS TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT EXCEPT TO 10 FT IN YUCATAN 
CHANNEL.
.18 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.GULF OF MEXICO S OF 25N E OF 88W NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 
9 FT EXCEPT TO 12 FT WITHIN FLORIDA CURRENT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 26N E OF 85W NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 
TO 8 FT IN STRAITS OF FLORIDA.
.30 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER COBB. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.