000
FZNT02 KNHC 131017
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC SAT OCT 13 2012

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC SAT OCT 13.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SUN OCT 14.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC MON OCT 15.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM RAFAEL NEAR 15.7N 64.2W 1006 MB AT 0900 UTC OCT 
13 MOVING NW OR 320 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT 
GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 0 NM OF CENTER 
EXCEPT 150 NM SE QUADRANT.  SEAS TO 12 FT WITHIN 0 NM OF CENTER 
EXCEPT 360 NM NE QUADRANT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM RAFAEL NEAR 18.8N 65.1W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 120 NM E SEMICIRCLE...0 NM SW QUADRANT AND 50 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM E SEMICIRCLE WITH 
SEAS TO 16 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM RAFAEL NEAR 22.2N 66.8W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 120 NM NE QUADRANT...150 NM SE QUADRANT...60 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
270 NM N AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 23 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM RAFAEL NEAR 26.4N 67.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM RAFAEL NEAR 35.8N 62.9W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL RAFAEL NEAR 45.0N
56.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST

.ATLC AND CARIBBEAN...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN RAFAEL WARNING...FROM 
12N TO 22N BETWEEN 56W AND 65W E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT EXCEPT 
NE TO E WINDS W OF RAFAEL. SEAS TO 11 FT. ATLC ELSEWHERE FROM 
12N TO 23N BETWEEN 43W AND 64W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT 
IN E TO SE SWELL.
.24 HOUR ATLC AND CARIBBEAN FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN RAFAEL 
WARNING...WITHIN 500 NM NE AND 180 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 
33 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE ATLC FROM 12N TO 24N BETWEEN 48W 
AND 58W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN SE SWELL.
.48 HOUR ATLC FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN RAFAEL WARNING... 
FROM N OF 19N BETWEEN 58W AND 74W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 
12 FT. 

.TROPICAL DEPRESSION PATTY NEAR 25.5N 71.9W 1008 MB AT 0900 UTC 
NEARLY STATIONARY. WITHIN 75 NM N SEMICIRCLE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED 
WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE E OF 80.5W TO 
LINE FROM 31N68W TO 21N76W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS 
TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT IN NE SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW PATTY NEAR 24.0N 
74.5W. WITHIN 60 NM NW SEMICIRCLE OF CENTER MAXIMUM SUSTAINED 
WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE NW OF LINE 
31N66W TO 22N79W NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT IN NE 
SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST...POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW PATTY DISSIPATED. 
N  OF 23N BETWEEN 74W AND 80W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 
FT IN NE SWELL. 

.CARIBBEAN N OF 17.5N BETWEEN 78W AND 87W NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT 
WITH GUSTS TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT EXCEPT TO 10 FT IN YUCATAN 
CHANNEL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.GULF OF MEXICO S OF 25N E OF 88W NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 
9 FT EXCEPT TO 12 FT WITHIN FLORIDA CURRENT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 26N E OF 85W NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 
TO 8 FT IN STRAITS OF FLORIDA.
.36 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER STRIPLING. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.