000
FZNT02 KNHC 130303
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC SAT OCT 13 2012

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC SAT OCT 13.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SUN OCT 14.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC MON OCT 15.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM RAFAEL NEAR 15.4N 63.4W 1007 MB AT 0300 UTC OCT
13 MOVING NW OR 325 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT
GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 0 NM OF CENTER
EXCEPT 150 NM SE QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 0 NM W
SEMICIRCLE...240 NM NE QUADRANT AND 120 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS
TO 14 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM RAFAEL NEAR 18.4N 64.3W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 120 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 0 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM NE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 16 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM RAFAEL NEAR 22.1N 66.1W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 120 NM E SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SW QUADRANT AND 90 NM 
NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM NE AND 90 NM SW 
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 22 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM RAFAEL NEAR 26.0N 67.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM RAFAEL NEAR 34.5N 63.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM RAFAEL NEAR 44.5N 55.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST

.ATLC AND CARIBBEAN...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...FROM 13N TO 
22N BETWEEN 55W AND 65W E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT EXCEPT N TO NE 
WINDS W OF RAFAEL. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE ATLC FROM 13N TO 
24N BETWEEN 45W AND 63W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN E 
TO SE SWELL.
.24 HOUR ATLC AND CARIBBEAN FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN 
WARNING...FROM 17N TO 24N BETWEEN 58W AND 67W SE TO S WINDS 20 
TO 33 KT EXCEPT N TO NE WINDS W OF RAFAEL. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
ELSEWHERE ATLC FROM 16N TO 26N BETWEEN 55W AND 67W WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN SE SWELL.
.48 HOUR ATLC FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...FROM 19N 
TO 29N BETWEEN 57W AND 70W E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT EXCEPT N TO 
NE WINDS W OF RAFAEL. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 

.TROPICAL DEPRESSION PATTY NEAR 25.4N 72.1W 1008 MB AT 0300 UTC 
OCT 13 MOTION IS STATIONARY. WITHIN 45 NM N SEMICIRCLE MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 300 NM W QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. 
ELSEWHERE N OF 29N BETWEEN 70W AND 74W NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. 
SEAS TO 9 FT IN NE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW PATTY NEAR 24.7N 
73.9W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. WITHIN 45 NM 
OF CENTER MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS TO 11 
FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 23N W OF LINE FROM 31N65W TO 23N74W NE WINDS 
20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN NE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST...POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW PATTY DISSIPATED. 
EXCEPT AS NOTED IN RAFAEL WARNING...W OF 57W E OF BAHAMAS WINDS 
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN NE SWELL.

.CARIBBEAN N OF 18N BETWEEN 78W AND 87W NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. 
SEAS TO 8 FT EXCEPT TO 10 FT IN YUCATAN CHANNEL.
.18 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.GULF OF MEXICO S OF 24N E OF 87W NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 
8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 25N E OF 85W NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 
TO 8 FT IN STRAITS OF FLORIDA.
.42 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER SCHAUER. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.