000
FZNT02 KNHC 122355 AAA
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST...AMENDED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC FRI OCT 12 2012

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

AMENDED FOR NEWLY-FORMED T.S. RAPHAEL AND GULF OF MEXICO

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC FRI OCT 12.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SAT OCT 13.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SUN OCT 14.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM RAFAEL SPECIAL NEAR 15.0N 63.1W 1006 MB AT 2330
UTC OCT 12 MOVING NNW OR 330 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 0 NM 
OF CENTER EXCEPT 150 NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
WITHIN 0 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 150 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 13 
FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM SPECIAL NEAR 18.0N 64.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 120 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 0 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM NE AND 60 NM SE QUADRANTS WITH SEAS 
TO 15 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM SPECIAL NEAR 21.4N 65.6W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 120 NM E SEMICIRCLE...30 NM SW QUADRANT AND 60 NM 
NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM NE AND 60 NM SE 
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 21 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM SPECIAL NEAR 25.0N 67.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM SPECIAL NEAR 32.5N 65.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM SPECIAL NEAR 43.0N 57.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST

.ATLC AND CARIBBEAN...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...FROM 15N TO 
22N BETWEEN 53W AND 64W AND FROM 12N TO 15N BETWEEN 56W AND 63W 
E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. REMAINDER AREA FROM 
14N TO 22N BETWEEN 45W AND 56W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT 
IN E SWELL.
.24 HOUR ATLC AND CARIBBEAN FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN 
WARNING...FROM 15N TO 23N BETWEEN 58W AND 66W SE TO S WINDS 20 
TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN SE SWELL. REMAINDER ATLC AREA FROM 
18N TO 25N BETWEEN 54W AND 67W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT 
IN SE SWELL
.48 HOUR ATLC FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...WITHIN 360 
NM NE SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER 
AREA FROM 18N TO 30N BETWEEN 57W AND 70W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN PRIMARILY E TO SE SWELL.

.TROPICAL DEPRESSION PATTY NEAR 25.5N 72.1W 1007 MB AT 2100 UTC 
OCT 12 MOVING IS STATIONARY. WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
30 NM NE QUADRANT...0 NM SE QUADRANT...120 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 
180 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM W 
QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW PATTY NEAR 25.0N 
72.8W. WITHIN 30 NM OF CENTER MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT 
GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 23N W OF LINE FROM 
31N66W TO 23N74W NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN NE 
SWELL.
.36 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW PATTY NEAR 24.2N 
74.7W. WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT 
GUSTS 35 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 23N W OF LINE FROM 
31N66W TO 23N74W NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN NE 
SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST...POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW PATTY DISSIPATED. 
N OF 26N W OF LINE FROM 31N60W TO 26N70W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN NE SWELL.

.CARIBBEAN N OF 19N W OF 84W NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT 
EXCEPT TO 10 FT IN YUCATAN CHANNEL.
.12 HOUR FORECAST N OF 17N BETWEEN 78W AND 87W NE WINDS 20 TO 25 
KT. SEAS TO 8 FT EXCEPT TO 10 FT IN YUCATAN CHANNEL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.GULF OF MEXICO 06 HOUR FORECAST S OF 24N E OF 87W NE WINDS 20 
TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 25N E OF 85W NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 
TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER SCHAUER. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.