000
FZNT02 KNHC 091019
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC SUN SEP 09 2012

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC SUN SEP 09.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC MON SEP 10.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC TUE SEP 11.

.WARNINGS.

...ATLC HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM LESLIE NEAR 30.8N 62.5W 988 MB AT 0900 UTC SEP 
09 MOVING N OR 360 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT 
GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 150 NM NW AND SE 
QUADRANTS...170 NM NE QUADRANT AND 130 NM SW QUADRANT.SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 270 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...300 NM NE 
QUADRANT AND 240 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 27 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM LESLIE NEAR 34.5N 61.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 180 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 150 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 
12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 330 NM NE AND 360 NM SE QUADRANTS...AND 
300 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 27 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LESLIE NEAR 42.0N 58.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 220 NM E SEMICIRCLE...160 NM SW QUADRANT AND 140 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 330 NM NE QUADRANT...360 
NM SE QUADRANT...420 NM SW QUADRANT AND 210 NM NW QUADRANT WITH 
SEAS TO 40 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL LESLIE NEAR 52.0N 
50.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL LESLIE NEAR 59.5N
35.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL LESLIE NEAR 61.0N
15.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.

...ATLC HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE MICHAEL NEAR 33.8N 42.7W 975 MB AT 0900 UTC SEP 09 
MOVING NW OR 315 DEG AT 4 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT 
GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM E 
SEMICIRCLE AND 40 NM W SEMICIRCLE.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
170 NM NE QUADRANT...150 NM SE QUADRANT...120 NM SW QUADRANT... 
AND 160 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER N OF 31N.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MICHAEL NEAR 34.0N 44.8W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 70 NM E SEMICIRCLE...40 NM SW QUADRANT AND 50 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER N OF 31N.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MICHAEL NEAR 36.5N 47.9W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 90 NM E SEMICIRCLE...70 NM SW QUADRANT AND 80 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER N OF 31N.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL MICHAEL NEAR 45.5N 45.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.ATLC EXCEPT AS NOTED IN LESLIE WARNINGS...OVER FORECAST WATERS 
WITHIN 360 NM NE AND 300 NM SW SEMICIRCLES OF LESLIE WINDS 20 TO 
33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 24N BETWEEN 53W AND 70W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 11 FT IN A BROAD MIX OF SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN LESLIE WARNINGS...OVER 
FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 420 NM SW SEMICIRCLE OF LESLIE WINDS 20 
TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 25N BETWEEN 54W AND 
67W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN A BROAD MIX OF SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN LESLIE WARNINGS...AREA N OF 
LINE FROM 31N67W TO 26N58W TO 26N52W TO 31N49W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN PRIMARILY NW SWELL.

.ATLC EXCEPT AS NOTED IN MICHAEL WARNING...OVER FORECAST WATERS 
N OF 30N BETWEEN 38W AND 44W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. 
ELSEWHERE N OF 29N BETWEEN 40W AND 46W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
TO 9 FT IN A BROAD MIX OF SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 29N BETWEEN 43W AND 50W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN PRIMARILY NW TO N SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS MERGE WITH LESLIE AREA.

.ATLC 12 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT APPROACHING FROM W. W OF A 
LINE FROM 31N75W TO 28N78W SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT FROM 31N75W TO 29N81W. N OF 29N E 
OF FRONT TO 71W SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT FROM 31N63W TO 27.5N81W. N OF 28N 
WITHIN 180 NM E OF FRONT SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. 
ELSEWHERE N OF 27N E OF FRONT TO 50W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
TO 9 FT IN PRIMARILY NW SWELL.

.ATLC 36 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE... 
NEAR 16.5N38.5W 1010 MB. WITHIN 240 NM NE SEMICIRCLE AND 180 NM 
S QUADRANT OF LOW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 
17.5N41W 1009 MB. WITHIN 360 NM NE AND 180 NM SE QUADRANTS WINDS 
20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.

.CARIBBEAN FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN 67W AND 75W NE TO E WINDS 20 
TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN 68W AND 77W NE TO E 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT NEAR COAST OF COLOMBIA.

.GULF OF MEXICO TROUGH FROM 29N85W TO 26N90W. N OF 27N SE OF 
TROUGH SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.06 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH FROM 29N83W TO 24N90W. WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER STRIPLING. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.