000
FZNT02 KNHC 090311
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC SUN SEP 09 2012

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC SUN SEP 09.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC MON SEP 10.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC TUE SEP 11.

.WARNINGS.

...ATLC HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM LESLIE NEAR 30.1N 62.6W 988 MB AT 0300 UTC SEP 
09 MOVING N OR 360 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT 
GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 160 NM NE 
QUADRANT...140 NM SE QUADRANT...100 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 150 NM 
NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 330 NM OF CENTER 
EXCEPT 240 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 26 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LESLIE NEAR 33.2N 61.9W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 140 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...170 NM NE QUADRANT AND 100 
NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 360 NM NE 
QUADRANT...330 NM SE AND NW QUADRANTS...AND 270 NM SW QUADRANT 
WITH SEAS TO 28 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LESLIE NEAR 38.5N 59.3W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 190 NM NE QUADRANT...180 NM SE QUADRANT...130 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 150 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
330 NM NE QUADRANT...360 NM SE QUADRANT...240 NM SW QUADRANT AND 
300 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 36 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL LESLIE NEAR 46.0N 
54.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL LESLIE NEAR 49.0N
48.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL LESLIE NEAR 51.5N
40.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.

...ATLC HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE MICHAEL NEAR 33.4N 42.4W 975 MB AT 0300 UTC SEP 09 
MOVING NNW OR 335 DEG AT 5 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT 
GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM E 
SEMICIRCLE AND 40 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
170 NM NE QUADRANT...150 NM SE QUADRANT...120 NM SW QUADRANT... 
AND 160 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER N OF 31N. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MICHAEL NEAR 33.9N 43.7W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 70 NM E SEMICIRCLE...40 NM SW QUADRANT AND 50 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER N OF 31N.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MICHAEL NEAR 35.2N 46.6W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 90 NM E SEMICIRCLE...70 NM SW QUADRANT AND 80 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER N OF 31N.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL MICHAEL NEAR 42.0N 47.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.ATLC EXCEPT AS NOTED IN LESLIE WARNINGS...OVER FORECAST WATERS 
WITHIN 360 NM E AND 300 NM W SEMICIRCLES OF LESLIE WINDS 20 TO 
33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 21N BETWEEN 55W AND 71W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN A BROAD MIX OF SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN LESLIE WARNINGS...OVER 
FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 390 NM S SEMICIRCLE OF LESLIE WINDS 20 TO 
33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 24N BETWEEN 54W AND 68W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN A BROAD MIX OF SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN LESLIE WARNINGS...AREA 
BOUNDED BY 31N62W TO 25N65W TO 25N50W TO 31N45W TO 31N62W WINDS 
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN PRIMARILY NW SWELL.

.ATLC EXCEPT AS NOTED IN MICHAEL WARNINGS...OVER FORECAST WATERS 
WITHIN 240 NM SE AND 180 NM SW QUADRANTS OF MICHAEL WINDS 20 TO 
30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 29N BETWEEN 38W AND 46W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN A BROAD MIX OF SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 29N BETWEEN 40W AND 48W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN PRIMARILY NW TO N SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS MERGE WITH LESLIE AREA.

.ATLC 18 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT APPROACHING FROM W. W OF A 
LINE FROM 31N77W TO 28N81W SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT FROM 31N70W TO 29N81W. N OF 28N E 
OF FRONT TO 76W SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT FROM 31N66W TO 28N70W TO 26N80W. N 
OF 28N WITHIN 180 NM E OF FRONT SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 
10 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 28N E OF FRONT TO 62W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS TO 9 FT IN PRIMARILY NW SWELL.

.ATLC 36 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE... 
NEAR 16.5N37W 1010 MB. WITHIN 240 NM NE SEMICIRCLE AND 180 NM S 
QUADRANT OF LOW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 
17.5N40W 1008 MB. WITHIN 300 NM NE AND 180 NM SE QUADRANTS WINDS 
20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.

.CARIBBEAN FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN 67W AND 75W NE TO E WINDS 20 
TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN 68W AND 77W NE TO E 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT NEAR COAST OF COLOMBIA.

.GULF OF MEXICO TROUGH FROM 30N85W TO 27N88W TO 26N90W. N OF 27N 
E OF TROUGH SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH FROM 29N83W TO 24N90W. WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER LEWITSKY. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.