000
FZNT02 KNHC 081538
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC SAT SEP 08 2012

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC SAT SEP 08.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SUN SEP 09.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC MON SEP 10.

.WARNINGS.

...ATLC HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM LESLIE NEAR 28.6N 62.5W 988 MB AT 1500 UTC SEP 
08 MOVING N OR 360 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT 
GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 160 NM NE 
QUADRANT...140 NM SE QUADRANT...100 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 150 NM 
NW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 270 NM NE 
QUADRANT...240 NM SE QUADRANT...330 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 360 NM 
NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 26 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM LESLIE NEAR 31.2N 62.2W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 140 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...170 NM NE QUADRANT AND 
100 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 330 NM S 
SEMICIRCLE...360 NM NE AND 390 NM NW QUADRANTS WITH SEAS TO 30 
FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LESLIE NEAR 34.5N 61.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 190 NM NE QUADRANT...180 NM SE QUADRANT...130 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 150 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
420 NM OF CENTER... EXCEPT 330 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 34 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LESLIE NEAR 40.5N 58.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL LESLIE NEAR 45.0N
55.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL LESLIE NEAR 47.0N 
51.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.

...ATLC HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE MICHAEL NEAR 32.6N 42.1W 971 MB AT 1500 UTC SEP 08 
MOVING NW OR 325 DEG AT 4 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT 
GUSTS 110 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM E 
SEMICIRCLE AND 40 NM W SEMICIRCLE.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
180 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 150 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 28 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MICHAEL NEAR 33.4N 42.9W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 80 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER N OF 31N.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MICHAEL NEAR 33.8N 45.1W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 80 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...90 NM NE QUADRANT AND 70 NM 
SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER N OF 31N.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MICHAEL NEAR 38.2N 48.2W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL MICHAEL NEAR 48.0N 47.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.ATLC EXCEPT AS NOTED IN LESLIE WARNINGS...OVER FORECAST WATERS 
WITHIN 270 NM W AND 360 NM E SEMICIRCLES OF LESLIE...WINDS 20 TO 
33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 20N BETWEEN 53W AND 73W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN BROAD MIX OF SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN LESLIE WARNINGS...WITHIN 
450 NM SE AND 360 NM SW QUADRANTS OF LESLIE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 21N BETWEEN 52W AND 71W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN NW TO N SWELL E OF 63W AND N TO 
NE SWELL W OF 63W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN LESLIE WARNINGS...OVER 
FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 450 NM S SEMICIRCLE OF LESLIE WINDS 20 TO 
30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 22N BETWEEN 51W AND 70W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN NW TO N SWELL E OF 61W 
AND N TO NE SWELL W OF 61W.

.ATLC EXCEPT AS NOTED IN MICHAEL WARNING...OVER FORECAST WATERS 
WITHIN 270 NM SE AND 120 NM SW QUADRANTS OF MICHAEL WINDS 20 TO 
30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 28N BETWEEN 36W AND 46W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN A BROAD MIX OF SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 29N BETWEEN 38W AND 47W S TO SW WINDS 20 
TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 29N BETWEEN 41W AND 50W WINDS 20 TO 25 
KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT.

.CARIBBEAN 24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 11N TO 14N BETWEEN 68W AND 74W 
NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 11N TO 16N BETWEEN 68W AND 77W NE TO E 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.

.ATLC 48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL 
CYCLONE...NEAR 17N37W 1011 MB. FROM 17N TO 22N E OF 38N E TO SE 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER AL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.