000
FZNT02 KNHC 072207
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC FRI SEP 07 2012

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC FRI SEP 07.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SAT SEP 08.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SUN SEP 09.

.WARNINGS.

...ATLC HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM LESLIE NEAR 27.4N 62.2W 982 MB AT 2100 UTC SEP 
07 MOVING N OR 360 DEG AT 4 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT 
GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 140 NM NW AND SE 
QUADRANTS...160 NM NE QUADRANT AND 80 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT 
OR GREATER WITHIN 270 NM S SEMICIRCLE...360 NM NE QUADRANT AND 
390 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 26 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM LESLIE NEAR 28.8N 62.2W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN 
RADIUS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
WITH SEAS TO 27 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LESLIE N OF AREA NEAR 31.8N 61.6W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 190 NM NE QUADRANT...180 NM SE QUADRANT...130 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 150 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
360 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 300 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 30 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LESLIE NEAR 35.0N 60.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LESLIE NEAR 41.0N 56.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL LESLIE NEAR 47.0N 
52.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.

...ATLC HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE MICHAEL NEAR 31.4N 41.3W 970 MB AT 2100 UTC SEP 07 
MOVING NW OR 320 DEG AT 3 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT 
GUSTS 110 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM E 
SEMICIRCLE AND 50 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
150 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...200 NM NE QUADRANT AND 120 NM SW 
QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 31 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MICHAEL NEAR 32.3N 42.2W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 70 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR
GREATER N OF AREA.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MICHAEL NEAR 33.6N 43.1W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 80 NM E SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SW QUADRANT AND 70 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER N OF AREA.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MICHAEL NEAR 35.4N 45.4W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MICHAEL NEAR 42.0N 47.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL MICHAEL NEAR 52.5N 43.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.ATLC EXCEPT AS NOTED IN LESLIE WARNINGS...OVER FORECAST WATERS 
WITHIN 360 NM E AND 300 NM W SEMICIRCLES OF LESLIE WINDS 20 TO 
33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 20N BETWEEN 55W AND 72W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN PRIMARILY N TO NE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN LESLIE WARNINGS...WITHIN 
330 NM OF CENTER OF LESLIE...EXCEPT 420 NM SE QUADRANT WINDS 20 
TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 20N BETWEEN 54W AND 
74W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN PRIMARILY N TO NE 
SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN LESLIE WARNINGS...OVER 
FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 480 NM SE AND 420 NM SW QUADRANTS OF 
LESLIE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 20N 
BETWEEN 51W AND 72W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN 
PRIMARILY N TO NE SWELL.

.ATLC EXCEPT AS NOTED IN MICHAEL WARNINGS...OVER FORECAST WATERS 
WITHIN 240 NM SE AND 180 NM SW QUADRANTS OF MICHAEL WINDS 20 TO 
33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 26N E OF 36W WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN A BROAD MIX OF SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN MICHAEL WARNINGS...OVER 
FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 270 NM SE AND 180 NM SW QUADRANTS OF 
MICHAEL WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 29N 
BETWEEN 37W AND 46W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN 
PRIMARILY N SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 29N BETWEEN 39W AND 45W S TO SW WINDS 20 
TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. N OF 29N BETWEEN 45W AND 49W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN PRIMARILY NW SWELL.

.ATLC 48 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH FROM 21N39W AND 15N38W. FROM 18N 
TO 21N E OF TROUGH E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.

.CARIBBEAN 24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 12N TO 14N BETWEEN 68W AND 74W 
NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER LEWITSKY. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.