000
FZNT02 KNHC 071011
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC FRI SEP 07 2012

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC FRI SEP 07.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SAT SEP 08.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SUN SEP 09.

.WARNINGS.

...ATLC HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE LESLIE NEAR 26.7N 62.2W 985 MB AT 0900 UTC SEP 07 
MOVING N OR 360 DEG AT 1 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 
80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 140 NM NW AND SE 
QUADRANTS...160 NM NE QUADRANT AND 80 NM SW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM S SEMICIRCLE...360 NM NE QUADRANT 
AND 330 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 30 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LESLIE NEAR 27.6N 62.4W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITH SEAS 
TO 34 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LESLIE NEAR 30.1N 62.2W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 190 NM NE QUADRANT...180 NM SE QUADRANT...130 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 150 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 360 NM 
N AND 390 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 40 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LESLIE NEAR 33.7N 61.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LESLIE NEAR 38.5N 58.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL LESLIE NEAR 46.0N
54.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.

...ATLC HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE MICHAEL NEAR 31.0N 40.8W 970 MB AT 0900 UTC SEP 07 
MOVING N OR 360 DEG AT 3 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 
110 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM W SEMICIRCLE... 
60 NM NE QUADRANT AND 70 NM SE QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
WITHIN 210 NM NE QUADRANT...180 NM SE QUADRANT...120 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 150 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 28 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MICHAEL NEAR 31.8N 41.6W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 70 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 150 NM W SEMICIRCLE...210 NM NE AND 180 NM SE 
QUADRANTS WITH SEAS TO 30 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MICHAEL NEAR 33.0N 42.8W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 80 NM E SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SW QUADRANT AND 70 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM N AND 180 NM S 
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 28 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MICHAEL NEAR 34.3N 44.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MICHAEL NEAR 38.0N 46.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MICHAEL NEAR 45.5N 47.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.

FORECAST WINDS NEAR TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE USED WITH CAUTION
DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.ATLC EXCEPT AS NOTED IN LESLIE WARNING...WITHIN 360 NM E AND 
270 NM W SEMICIRCLES...WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. OVER FORECAST WATERS 
WITHIN 510 NM N SEMICIRCLE...300 NM SE AND 270 NM SW QUADRANTS 
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 20N BETWEEN 55W AND 71W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN A BROAD MIX OF SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN LESLIE WARNING...WITHIN 330 
NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 420 NM SE QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. OVER 
FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 600 NM W SEMICIRCLE...510 NM NE AND 420 
NM SE QUADRANTS SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 19N BETWEEN 55W 
AND 73W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN BROAD MIX OF 
SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN LESLIE WARNING...OVER 
FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 500 NM SE AND 420 NM SW QUADRANTS WINDS 
20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 19N BETWEEN 52W AND 
72W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN BROAD MIX OF SWELL.

.ATLC EXCEPT AS NOTED IN MICHAEL WARNING...OVER FORECAST WATERS 
WITHIN 210 NM SE AND 150 NM NW SEMICIRCLES...WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 25N BETWEEN 36W AND 45W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN BROAD MIX OF SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN MICHAEL WARNING...OVER 
FORECAST WATERS N OF 30N BETWEEN 39W AND 46W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. 
SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 28N BETWEEN 36W AND 46W WINDS 
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT PRIMARILY IN N SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN MICHAEL WARNINGS...OVER 
FORECAST WATERS N OF 30N BETWEEN 38W AND 48W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 27N BETWEEN 39W AND 48W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN NW TO N SWELL.

.GULF OF MEXICO 36 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL 
CYCLONE...NEAR 29N87.5W 1009 MB. WITHIN 180 NM SE SEMICIRCLE OF 
LOW SW TO W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 
29N85W 1009 MB. WITHIN 150 NM SE SEMICIRCLE OF LOW WINDS 20 TO 
25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER STRIPLING. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.