000
FZNT02 KNHC 070252
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC FRI SEP 07 2012

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC FRI SEP 07.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SAT SEP 08.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SUN SEP 09.

.WARNINGS.

...ATLC HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE LESLIE NEAR 26.5N 62.2W 985 MB AT 0300 UTC SEP 07
MOVING IS STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 140 NM N SEMICIRCLE...100 NM
SE QUADRANT AND 80 NM SW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN
300 NM N SEMICIRCLE...210 NM SE QUADRANT AND 180 NM SW QUADRANT
WITH SEAS TO 31 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LESLIE NEAR 27.2N 62.4W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LESLIE NEAR 29.3N 62.6W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 140 NM W SEMICIRCLE...190 NM NE QUADRANT AND 180 NM SE 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 360 NM N SEMICIRCLE...240 
NM SE QUADRANT AND 180 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 33 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LESLIE NEAR 33.0N 61.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LESLIE NEAR 37.0N 59.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LESLIE NEAR 43.0N 55.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.

...ATLC HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE MICHAEL NEAR 30.8N 40.8W 970 MB AT 0300 UTC SEP 07
MOVING NNE OR 025 DEG AT 4 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT
GUSTS 110 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM W
SEMICIRCLE...60 NM NE QUADRANT AND 70 NM SE QUADRANT.  SEAS 12
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...180 NM NE
QUADRANT AND 120 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 30 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MICHAEL NEAR 31.7N 41.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 70 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 150 NM W SEMICIRCLE...210 NM NE AND 180 NM SE 
QUADRANTS WITH SEAS TO 29 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MICHAEL NEAR 33.0N 42.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 80 NM E SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SW QUADRANT AND 70 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 240 N AND 180 NM S 
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 27 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MICHAEL NEAR 34.5N 44.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MICHAEL NEAR 36.5N 46.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MICHAEL NEAR 43.0N 47.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.

FORECAST WINDS NEAR TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE USED WITH CAUTION
DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.ATLC EXCEPT AS NOTED IN LESLIE WARNING...WITHIN 270 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE...270 NM SE AND 240 NM SW QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 33 
KT. OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 510 NM N SEMICIRCLE...300 NM SE 
AND 270 NM SW QUADRANTS SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 21N 
BETWEEN 56W AND 71W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN A 
BROAD MIX OF SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN LESLIE WARNING...WITHIN 270 
NM N AND 300 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. OVER FORECAST 
WATERS WITHIN 600 NM W SEMICIRCLE...510 NM NE AND 420 NM SE 
QUADRANTS SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 20N BETWEEN 55W AND 
73W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT PRIMARILY IN NW TO N
SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN LESLIE WARNING...WITHIN 300 
NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 420 NM SE QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. OVER 
FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 720 NM W AND 600 NM E SEMICIRCLES SEAS 8 
TO 12 FT. 

.ATLC EXCEPT AS NOTED IN MICHAEL WARNING...OVER FORECAST WATERS 
WITHIN 270 NM N SEMICIRCLE...240 NM SW AND 210 NM SE QUADRANTS 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN MICHAEL WARNING...N OF 29N  
BETWEEN 36W AND 45W SW TO W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. 
ELSEWHERE N OF 27N BETWEEN 36W AND 46W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
8 TO 10 FT PRIMARILY IN N SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN MICHAEL WARNINGS...OVER 
FORECAST WATERS N OF 28N BETWEEN 37W AND 47W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 

.GULF OF MEXICO 18 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 28N89W 1010 
MB...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...MOVING NE 07 KT. WITHIN 90 NM E 
SEMICIRCLE OF LOW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 
29N88W 1009 MB. WITHIN 150 NM SE SEMICIRCLE OF LOW WINDS 20 TO 
25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER CHRISTENSEN. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.