000
FZNT02 KNHC 051545
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC WED SEP 05 2012

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC WED SEP 05.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC THU SEP 06.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC FRI SEP 07.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM LESLIE NEAR 25.7N 62.8W 990 MB AT 1500 UTC SEP 
05 MOVING N OR 360 DEG AT 2 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT 
GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 140 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE...200 NM SE QUADRANT AND 60 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 360 NM N SEMICIRCLE...210 NM SE QUADRANT 
AND 120 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 26 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LESLIE NEAR 26.5N 63.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 160 NM NE QUADRANT...200 NM SE QUADRANT...90 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 150 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
390 NM NE...240 NM SE...150 NM SW AND 360 NM NW QUADRANTS WITH 
SEAS TO 28 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LESLIE NEAR 27.2N 63.4W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 200 NM E SEMICIRCLE...110 NM SW QUADRANT AND 170 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 420 NM NE...240 NM 
SE...150 NM SW AND 360 NM NW QUADRANTS WITH SEAS TO 30 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LESLIE NEAR 29.0N 64.3W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LESLIE NEAR BERMUDA NEAR 32.4N
64.7W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT GUSTS 115 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LESLIE NEAR 39.5N 62.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT GUSTS 115 KT.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM MICHAEL NEAR 28.3N 43.3W 1005 MB AT 1500 UTC SEP
05 MOVING NE OR 035 DEG AT 5 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT
GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 30 NM NW AND SE
QUADRANTS...50 NM NE QUADRANT AND 20 NM SW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT 
OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM NE QUADRANT...50 NM SE QUADRANT AND 45 
NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 14 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MICHAEL NEAR 29.7N 42.4W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN
RADIUS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MICHAEL NEAR 31.0N 42.9W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 40 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...60 NM NE QUADRANT AND 30 NM 
SW QUADRANT. OVER FORECAST WATERS SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
120 NM SE AND 90 NM SW QUADRANTS WITH SEAS TO 19 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MICHAEL NEAR 32.1N 44.2W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MICHAEL NEAR 33.3N 45.2W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MICHAEL NEAR 34.7N 46.3W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.ATLC EXCEPT AS NOTED IN LESLIE WARNING...WITHIN 240 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE...270 NM SE AND 180 NM SW QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 33 
KT. OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 420 NM N SEMICIRCLE...270 NM SE 
AND 240 NM SW QUADRANTS SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 22N 
BETWEEN 56W AND 70W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN SE 
TO S SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN LESLIE WARNING...WITHIN 270 
NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 300 NM SE QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. OVER 
FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 420 NM N AND 300 S SEMICIRCLES SEAS 8 TO 
12 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 22N BETWEEN 56W AND 72W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN SE TO S SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN LESLIE WARNING....WITHIN 
300 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 360 NM SE QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. 
OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 600 NM N SEMICIRCLE...420 NM SE AND 
540 NM SW QUADRANTS SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 19N BETWEEN 
55W AND 75W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN SE TO S 
SWELL.

.ATLC EXCEPT AS NOTED IN MICHAEL WARNING...WITHIN 180 NM NE 
SEMICIRCLE...120 NM NW AND 90 NM SW QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT OF CENTER EXCEPT TO 8 FT SW QUADRANT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN MICHAEL WARNING...WITHIN 180
NM SE AND 90 NM NW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 
FT.
..48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN MICHAEL WARNINGS...OVER 
FORECAST WATERS N OF 29N BETWEEN 37W AND 45W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 

.CARIBBEAN S OF 14N BETWEEN 68W AND 75W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 
KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE. 

.GULF OF MEXICO 24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 28N87W 1009 MB 
MOVING S AT 11 FT. WITHIN 60 NM E SEMICIRCLE OF LOW WINDS 20 TO 
25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 28N88W 1009 MB. WITHIN 90 NM E 
SEMICIRCLE OF LOW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER GR. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.