000
FZNT02 KNHC 050953
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC WED SEP 05 2012

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC WED SEP 05
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC THU SEP 06
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC FRI SEP 07

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM LESLIE NEAR 25.4N 62.9W 992 MB AT 0900 UTC SEP
05 MOVING NNW OR 340 DEG AT 2 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT
GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 140 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE...200 NM SE AND 60 NM SW QUADRANTS.SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 360 NM N SEMICIRCLE...210 NM SE AND 120 NM SW 
QUADRANTS WITH SEAS TO 26 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM LESLIE NEAR 26.2N 63.1W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 160 NM NE...200 NM SE...90 NM SW AND 150 NM NW 
QUADRANTS. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 390 NM NE...240 NM SE... 
150 NM SW AND 360 NM NW QUADRANTS WITH SEAS TO 28 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LESLIE NEAR 26.9N 63.3W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 200 NM E SEMICIRCLE...110 NM SW AND 170 NM NW QUADRANTS. 
SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 450 NM NE...240 NM SE...150 NM SW 
AND 360 NM NW QUADRANTS WITH SEAS TO 30 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LESLIE NEAR 28.2N 64.2W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LESLIE NEAR 31.5N 65.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LESLIE NEAR 37.5N 64.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM MICHAEL NEAR 28.1N 43.9W 1005 MB AT 0900 UTC SEP 
05 MOVING N OR 360 DEG AT 4 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT 
GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 30 NM OF CENTER 
EXCEPT 20 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM 
NE...30 NM SE...0 NM SW AND 40 NM NW QUADRANTS. SEAS TO 14 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MICHAEL NEAR 29.4N 43.1W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN
RADIUS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MICHAEL NEAR 30.7N 42.8W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN
RADIUS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MICHAEL NEAR 31.8N 43.7W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MICHAEL NEAR 33.0N 45.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MICHAEL NEAR 34.0N 46.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.

FORECAST WINDS NEAR TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE USED WITH CAUTION
DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.ATLC EXCEPT AS NOTED IN LESLIE WARNING...WITHIN 240 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE...270 NM SE AND 180 NM SW QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 33 
KT. OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 480 NM N SEMICIRCLE...300 NM SE 
AND 240 NM SW QUADRANTS SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 22N 
BETWEEN 57W AND 75W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN SE 
TO S SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN LESLIE WARNING...WITHIN 270 
NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 300 NM SE QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. OVER 
FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 540 NM N SEMICIRCLE...330 NM SE AND 360 
NM SW QUADRANTS SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 21N BETWEEN 57W 
AND 75W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN SE TO S SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN LESLIE WARNING...WITHIN 300 
NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 360 NM SE QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. OVER 
FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 600 NM N SEMICIRCLE...420 NM SE AND 540 
NM SW QUADRANTS SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 19N BETWEEN 55W 
AND 75W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN SE TO S SWELL.

.ATLC EXCEPT AS NOTED IN MICHAEL WARNING...WITHIN 180 NM NE 
SEMICIRCLE AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 
12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN MICHAEL WARNING...WITHIN 180
NM SE AND 90 NM NW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 
FT.
..48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN MICHAEL WARNINGS...WITHIN 
180 NM E AND 120 NM W SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 
12 FT. 

.CARIBBEAN S OF 14N BETWEEN 68W AND 75W E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. 
SEAS 8 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE. 

.GULF OF MEXICO 48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 28N89W 1009 MB. 
WITHIN 120 NM E SEMICIRCLE OF LOW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 
FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER MUNDELL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.