000
FZNT02 KNHC 050259
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC WED SEP 05 2012

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC WED SEP 05.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC THU SEP 06.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC FRI SEP 07.

.WARNINGS.

..TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM LESLIE NEAR 25.2N 62.8W 994 MB AT 0300 UTC SEP
05 MOVING NNW OR 345 DEG AT 2 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT 
GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 140 NM NE...200
200 NM SE...60 NM SW...AND 100 NM NW QUADRANTS. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 360 NM NW...330 NM NE 210 NM SE QUADRANT AND 120 
NM SW QUADRANTS WITH SEAS TO 24 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM LESLIE NEAR 26.1N 63.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 160 NM NE...200 NM SE...110 NM NW AND 90 NM 
SW QUADRANTS. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 390 NM NE QUADRANT... 
210 NM SE QUADRANT...120 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 300 NM NW QUADRANT 
WITH SEAS TO 26 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LESLIE NEAR 26.7N 63.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 200 NM E SEMICIRCLE...110 NM SW AND 160 NM NW QUADRANTS. 
SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 420 NM NE QUADRANT...210 NM SE 
QUADRANT...120 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 330 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS 
TO 28 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LESLIE NEAR 27.5N 63.8W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LESLIE NEAR 30.0N 65.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LESLIE NEAR 35.0N 65.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM MICHAEL NEAR 27.4N 43.7W 1005 MB AT 0300 UTC SEP 
05 MOVING IS STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 
KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 30 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 20 
NM SW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 40 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE...AND 30 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 14 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MICHAEL NEAR 28.9N 43.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN
RADIUS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER.
SEAS TO 18 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MICHAEL NEAR 30.0N 42.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN
RADIUS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER. 
SEAS TO 20 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MICHAEL NEAR 31.2N 43.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MICHAEL NEAR 32.0N 44.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MICHAEL NEAR 33.0N 45.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.ATLC EXCEPT AS NOTED IN TROPICAL STORM LESLIE WARNING...WITHIN 
240 NM N SEMICIRCLE...270 NM SE AND 180 NM SW QUADRANTS WINDS 20 
TO 33 KT. OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 480 NM N SEMICIRCLE...300 
NM SE AND 240 NM SW QUADRANTS SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 
22N BETWEEN 57W AND 75W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN 
SE TO S SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN LESLIE WARNINGS...WITHIN 
270 NM OF LESLIE...EXCEPT 300 NM SE QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. 
OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 540 NM N SEMICIRCLE...330 NM SE AND 
360 NM SW QUADRANTS SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 21N BETWEEN 
57W AND 75W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN SE TO S 
SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN LESLIE WARNINGS...WITHIN 
300 NM OF LESLIE...EXCEPT 360 NM SE QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. 
OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 600 NM N SEMICIRCLE...420 NM SE AND 
540 NM SW QUADRANTS SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 19N BETWEEN 
55W AND 75W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN SE TO S 
SWELL.

.ATLC EXCEPT AS NOTED IN TROPICAL STORM MICHAEL WARNING...WITHIN 
180 NM NE SEMICIRCLE AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN MICHAEL WARNINGS...WITHIN 
180 NM SE AND 90 NM NW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 
12 FT.
..48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN MICHAEL WARNINGS...WITHIN 
180 NM E AND 120 NM W SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 
12 FT. 

.CARIBBEAN S OF 14N BETWEEN 68W AND 75W E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. 
SEAS 8 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE. 

.GULF OF MEXICO 24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES EMERGES OFF SE CONUS
TO NEAR 29N87W 1008 MB. WITHIN 120 NM E SEMICIRCLE OF LOW S TO 
SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 28N88W 1007 MB. WITHIN 120 NM E 
SEMICIRCLE OF LOW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER COBB. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.